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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

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Old 07-28-2013, 10:40 PM   #1
dirty moose
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Cap these 2 races for me please.

I really feel I did these 2 races the best I could have. Please point out my flaws. I won't take anything personal. be harsh if you have to.

Going to post the 1st race now. Will post the 2nd tomorrow night.
EDIT; I don't know how to keep the pictures big in the thread. If you click them they will enlarge.
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Old 07-28-2013, 10:42 PM   #2
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Old 07-28-2013, 10:43 PM   #3
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Old 07-28-2013, 10:44 PM   #4
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I originally did not have the 6 in as a contender.
I put him in there for model purposes.
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Old 07-28-2013, 10:46 PM   #5
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I had $10 Win 1,2
$2 Exacta BX,1,2,7
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Old 07-28-2013, 11:45 PM   #6
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Horses 1 thru 5
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Old 07-28-2013, 11:46 PM   #7
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Horses 6 & 7 and Segments
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Old 07-29-2013, 12:07 AM   #8
Because I Can Jim
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dirty moose,

I looked at this race live today and I passed the race.

I favored the 1 and 2 horses also. But, the 6 horse left me with questions. I was not sure what it was capable of in this race facing this field. Notice I went all the way down to the next to the last line.

In a field with almost all Sustained running styles, his being a presser at faster times put him in front of the other horses in my mind which showed being on the lead at the 2c on the Segments screen and on the result chart. However, I was not sure about his last fraction. I could nto decide whether he would be able to wire the field. A very messy horse.

I also looked at the 7 horse, but, that was a distant third for me. He did not have enough early or late for me.

Hope that helps.

Jim
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Old 07-29-2013, 11:36 AM   #9
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If you use line 4 !!! ( i'm sorry )

Hi guys

I know this is after the fact but here is my look I had to play Mall cop last night
and I just saw this post.

Here is my look

H1 Line 1

H2 Line 2

H3 Line 2 but iffy because the race is the same condition. What makes today
different ?

H4 No line. Look how this horse is getting destroyed by this condition/ competition level.

H5 No line Its dropping but look at line 5, 9 and 10 It can't beat CL5 N1-1Y

H6 No line BUT look at line 2 it was within 1/2 legnth of the lead against OPEN
16 Claimers at AP, these are much better horses
The condition of today's race is 5000 claimers that have not won a race in a year. With this condition you must ask of each horse, why have you not wona race in a year, For horse 6 its because its been running against much better competition or the distance surface was excusable.


H7 No Line. line 1 besides the gd track is not very good.
It a zero paceline. It made a big move but only because it once again walked out of the gate. This type rarely wins and its 3/37 record supports this.

This is a pass race

Last edited by Bill V.; 07-29-2013 at 11:39 AM.
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