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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race'

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Old 04-30-2016, 04:37 PM   #41
Bill V.
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Notes

Top 5 TPR last line -- only 5 horses in the race

1 5 4 2 3

No fulcrum

SAR work # 1
Hwl1 #1 #4
5F #1 #2
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Old 04-30-2016, 04:42 PM   #42
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readouts

short field first non maiden route of the day

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Old 04-30-2016, 04:44 PM   #43
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sorry

Opps horse 5 is in the Sustained group but it is a lone presser
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Old 04-30-2016, 05:01 PM   #44
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The 1 was too good

The top 3 low odds horses are in the money
good race to pass


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Old 04-30-2016, 05:16 PM   #45
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Race 9

Just from skimming and getteing the running styles and top 5 TPR I think race 9 is a pass to
Horse 1 is scratched and horse 3 has no pace line it's only race, for a race it won !

So I am only left with 5 horses coming from all distance and of course long layoffs

Race 9 is a AL59 N1-X for 3+F

Horse 1 Scratched
Horse 2 3 wins in 17 races
Horse 3 1 win 1 race
Horse 4 2 wins 15 races
Horse 5 1 win 8 races
Horse 6 1 win 16 races
Horse 7 2 wins 11 races

SAR workout
#2 #3
HWLI workout
2 3 6

Top 5 TPR last line
7 2 4 6 5
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Old 04-30-2016, 05:24 PM   #46
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With the 3 a big ?

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Old 04-30-2016, 05:34 PM   #47
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race 9 Results

The Early 6 ran well and hangs on for place the 7 wins at 8/5
The 2 almost got place and me a nice exacta

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Old 04-30-2016, 05:39 PM   #48
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Race 10

This is the Match Up contest race

Its a 5 furlong 6500 claiming race for 3+

The top 5 TPR last line

1,10, 2, 3, 6

Fulcrum horse is # 1 93.5 45.3

the 9 has a 5f workout
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Old 04-30-2016, 06:09 PM   #49
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Work up race 10

This is whatI posted over in the match up contest

Horse 1 Early line 1
Horse 2 sustained last line used to run early
Horse 3 presser line 1
Horse 4 Sus line 1
Horse 5 NF used to be something at Parx
Horse 6 SP line 2
Horse 7 Early Line 2
Horse 8 Scr
Horse 9 EP Line 3
Horse 10 Early dropping off win

running out of time so quickly
6 and 9

Top 3 TPR
6 1 9
Top 3 VDC
9 1 6

The 6 wins the 1 places so I got a small profit.

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Last edited by Bill V.; 04-30-2016 at 06:14 PM.
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Old 04-30-2016, 06:17 PM   #50
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well that was fun

It looks like there was a good balance of early and sustained and pressers winning, I made a nice profit thanks to the big exacta and hitting a few smaller ones , I bet very small because of the layoff issues

Thanks for looking in

Bill
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