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08-01-2017, 02:40 PM | #61 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Claimed
Yes that looks like a dump
And the 6 was claimed. She went off as the 1.20/1 fav |
08-01-2017, 02:51 PM | #62 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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here is the winner
Also was claimed
But wins at a nice price I think when I retire I'm just going to look for this pattern |
08-01-2017, 03:11 PM | #63 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: England
Posts: 489
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Interesting Pattern
Thanks for posting the result Bill. Interesting point on the class move.
Further to the class move factor, it also raced too close to a pace it just wasn't comfortable with in line 1. Line 9 (admittedly in the slop) shows a similar performance against such a fast 1st 2 furlongs. Coupled with the easy throw out of the E types and a too generous view of the 7, this horse was actually a solid bet. Still that's the benefit of regression analysis. An easy area to neglect for me, but there's something to learn from every losing bet & that's for sure. |
08-01-2017, 03:12 PM | #64 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: England
Posts: 489
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I'll bet the claimers of the 6 are now scratching their heads wondering what on earth they've bought into.
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08-01-2017, 03:34 PM | #65 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: England
Posts: 489
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Fl r6
There has just been another in R6 at FL. You won't believe the price of the fav. Will post the PP & result once Equipbase have posted.
Tom Brohamer thank you! |
08-01-2017, 03:54 PM | #66 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: England
Posts: 489
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Fl r6
Check the price on the number 3. As Tom says, some of these do win, but they are always underplayed.
I admit my posts on this point are getting a bit boring now. I think the case is proven here. Interestingly the point Bill made to me previously about the RC of the race. With this horse it is clearly a massive drop. Not claimed either. Time for a celebratory cup of tea! |
08-01-2017, 03:55 PM | #67 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: England
Posts: 489
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Underlayed, not underplayed!! Overplayed of anything!
Sorry, my typing is all over the shop today |
08-01-2017, 04:31 PM | #68 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: England
Posts: 489
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Just to sum up. This 3 doesn't jump of the page as having had a strong run in it's last race against the competition it faced, but it was definitely stronger than the horses it was due to face today.
Negative for me. From a minor FL stakes race to a 3.5k claimer in 5 races with a big layoff. I think the only person making money with this horse was the Vet. |
09-12-2017, 09:01 PM | #69 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,855
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Quote:
Thanks to Cratman (Mark), we now have the Brohamer Lecture Series Manualincluded in the Sartin Library to compliment the audio series. Here is the Manual: http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11313 And here are the Audios: http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6095 Enjoy, and thanks Mark! Ted
__________________
RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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09-13-2017, 02:34 AM | #70 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: England
Posts: 489
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Thank you Mark and Ted.
Forever grateful. Lectures tapes on in the car for today's commute to work! |
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