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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

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Old 07-10-2018, 10:46 AM   #1
elocutionist
AlwNW1X
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 8
Turf Routes

It would be helpful to hear members thoughts on this subject. Since turf routes generally have bigger fields, they present good betting opportunities. Rx seems to be an important factor, because it is weighted towards class and vdc. I like horse that show increasing velocity in the 2nd and 3rd fractions. Having watched many turf races, trip and jockeys seem to matter. I've seen too many races where a good horse is stuck in traffic or a pacesetter walks the dog on a projected honest pace race and goes on with it. Any thoughts would be appreciated.
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Old 07-10-2018, 11:28 AM   #2
tom
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 508
My concerns about tuff races is that many of the races are run very slow early, and that can totally screw up your readouts. As Tim used to preach - use more than one paceline to verify your line selection.

This is where I used to LOVE KGen - it was the best program Doc ever wrote, IMHO. Aberrant lines just stood out like sore thumbs.

Trips play a big part in turf races, so I am not at all bothered by going back for a paceline. I tend to use the best line from the last 6, no matter how long ago.
If I make the horse a contender, I want his best turf line within a half a furlong.
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Old 07-12-2018, 10:32 PM   #3
Lefty
Grade 2
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 98
Me Too

I also was a big fan of KGEN. Did really well with it.
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