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Old 03-21-2015, 07:42 PM   #21
cigar
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
 
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 394
Sun r7

My pick 3 and 4

* if any of my top two pick scratch sub #2.

Congrat Mo nice hit.
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Old 03-21-2015, 08:07 PM   #22
PeteC
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Mowenscoolmowenscool

Mike does it again. Well done and a nice price. Solid matching Mike in a race that was not an easy Mind's Eye race (certainly for me). Here's the chart...
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Old 03-21-2015, 08:10 PM   #23
The Pook
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Nice one again Mr. Mo
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Old 03-21-2015, 10:12 PM   #24
Capcondo
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SA #4 Horse #1

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Pook View Post
Tim, when you are talking about the #1, what do you mean that he does not close up in any sprint through the stretch call? It looks to me like that is when he is closing.

Pook
What I'm looking for in an OTE horse is a horse that makes significant positional moves between the first call and second call and/or the second call and the stretch call.

Let's take a look at the 1.

1C 2C STR
8 8 6
5 5 6
5 5 5
5 5 5
5 4 3

I didn't include his maiden race. These races were on the dirt, poly, and turf. In the last race, he was last after trouble at the start and passed two horses between the 2C and STR. The 3 previous races, he didn't pass anybody between these three calls. The 5th race back was on the poly and that is the only race where he was in a position to win the race at the stretch call. In spite of all this, he won two of those races!

Look at the stretch call position of all the races; 6,6,5,5,3. I just don't bet horses that can't get closer than this consistently.

Hope this answers your question.

Tim
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Old 03-22-2015, 11:20 AM   #25
Seven Furlongs
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Congrats to the poster who had the 4 in the Santa Anita race.
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Old 03-22-2015, 11:32 AM   #26
The Pook
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cigar View Post
sorry guys, no workup today my pick is 7 and 1
Cigar, you normally supply good workups for your picks. Posting picks like a lottery doesn't work and I'm sure you can understand why. You must have put some matching thought to the above so we have to see something. It is only fair to everyone else. Even as little as what raceman5 is posting will do.

So lucky for you I'm not counting your entry for Saturday. Hopefully you see this before Sundays race and you elaborate on those choices.

Sorry man,
Pook
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Old 03-22-2015, 01:47 PM   #27
Capcondo
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Sunland #7

From equibase, there are no scratches in the 7th.

Tim
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Old 03-22-2015, 02:04 PM   #28
Capcondo
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Sunland #7

This is a good race Pete. Thanks for posting it.

It looks to me like the 1 and the 6 are early horses. I think the 6 will get the lead in something like 21.4 or 22.0

The horse that's really fast here is the 4. This horse has fought through a 21.2 43.3, 21.3 44, and 21 43.2. Nobody in this race can run that fast. At 6.5 furlongs, you worry about a pace duel. But, this horse breaks 4th and has shown he can pass horses during the race. If he gets a moderate pace to run against, he can run very fast at the end.

I saw the 4's last race which is the biggest race of the year at Turf Paradise near where I live. The race was won by a deep closer against those sizzling fractions. The 4 was there every step of the way.

The 4 is my choice to win.

GL

Tim
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Old 03-22-2015, 02:12 PM   #29
PeteC
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Sunland

Hi Tim, I am right with you. I like the 4 here. Looks like a wicked fighter than can win this one. My choice is the 4.....Omar
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Old 03-22-2015, 04:33 PM   #30
cigar
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
 
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Vacation man

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Pook View Post
Cigar, you normally supply good workups for your picks. Posting picks like a lottery doesn't work and I'm sure you can understand why. You must have put some matching thought to the above so we have to see something. It is only fair to everyone else. Even as little as what raceman5 is posting will do.

So lucky for you I'm not counting your entry for Saturday. Hopefully you see this before Sundays race and you elaborate on those choices.

Sorry man,
Pook
No problem man, Enjoying some sunsine this week with limited internet access. Cheers all enjoy
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