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2016 Match4Cash Challenges Are You Up 4 It? |
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03-08-2016, 02:25 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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M4$ Mar12 Challenge7 (Capcondo)
Challenge7
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03-11-2016, 11:09 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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TAM #1 1 1/16 Miles Dirt Post Time 12:23 EST
With some huge weather issues in the south and in California, we're going to Tampa on their big day of the season for what hopefully will be a decent price.
Scratches early A.M. tomorrow. Good matching. http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...195¶m3=780 |
03-11-2016, 03:51 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,035
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Picks 6 and 5
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03-12-2016, 09:57 AM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Scratches
#8: Holiday Boy and #9: Tree Fire as of 9:39 AM EST
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03-12-2016, 10:04 AM | #6 |
Grade 2
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Oklahoma
Posts: 76
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Another tough race with lots of speed & tandems. #2 should set a fast pace, but the distance is a question for him.
Pace 47.4. 113. I see the race as OTE The #6 can close against this pace The #9 will be close up and can handle this pace. 6 & 9 for the win |
03-12-2016, 11:12 AM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,854
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The other Earlies in the race are gone (8 & 9). #2 is the lone Early. He can slow down considerably and use that conserved energy to stretch out. At a price (though not 10-1 Morning Line anymore).
Selection: #2 Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
03-12-2016, 12:00 PM | #8 |
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 394
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Tam R1
Pace: 24.1 - 48.2 - 113
If #2 slow it the pace down, he move up for win. Leaning toward E with but (OTE) Win: 2 - 6 1 - slow out 2 - Speed - contender 3 - contender 4 - slow - out 5 - ? not sure what to make of 6 - Contender 7 - may influence pace - out |
03-12-2016, 12:09 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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TAM #1:
Disappointed with the scratches which has changed the complexion of the race. Agree that the 2 will get the lead. But, horses with this pattern don't win often at 1 1/16 miles. I think the pace will be something around 24.0 48.0 with the 7 contesting the early lead. The tandem B4 scratches was the last race on the 5 and 9 (I know 9 is out). The 5 will run much closer than he did in his last as shown by the race at DEL 6 back. The 5 is my choice to win the race. |
03-12-2016, 12:22 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Tampa
With the scratches the #2 appears to be the dominant early. Only three other runners have ever been on the lead: #7 who went out in 24 48 last time, but had been more of a presser prior to that race, #1 had the lead two-back setting a 24.2 49 114.1, and #5 who made the lead in a slow 50.3! Comparing them to #2, Pendulum seems much faster. He’s nearly wired two sprint fields against faster paces, only failing recently against a VERY fast 22.2 45.1. The record shows a win at the distance (not shown in PP’s). The only two routes were a loss at RP where it couldn’t keep up with a 23.2 46.3 and a sharp second dueling all the way against 24 47.4 112.3. Coming off a blowout win last time I feel good about accepting that line. All that being said it looks like the dominant early and does not need the lead.
Of the OTE runners I don’t see much in the way of power moves. I would say #5 looks best, making a mild move against the fastest last race route. I am going to take the 2 to win. |
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