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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race' |
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04-22-2016, 12:28 AM | #12 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Readouts
My workup
Step 1 Top 5 TPR Line 1 3 8 14 5 4 Step 2 Fulcrum horse Fulcrum horse # 1 83 EPR Step 3 Running styles Horse 1 EP Line 1 + race no reason to go past it Horse 2 Sus Line 2 Off 103 day Line 2 Excuse line 1 Wrong surface Horse 3 Press Line 2 is not a plus line but it is the only recent turf route Horse 4 Sus Off 222 days This is too long a layoff Doc's cut ooff is 189 days Horse 5 Sus No line no comparable turf routes within 90 days Horse 6 EP Line 2 Excuse line 1 wrong surface Horse 7 Sus Line 1 Nice effort in line 1 after a long layoffat 9 furlongs Now comes back again after 49 days ? Line 4 is the same race as today and it only earned a 161TPR Horse 8 EP No Line no comparable turf routes within 90 days Horse 9 SP Don't like to use 7.5 lines Only because I can't get past line 1 This horse shows no + races within 90 days routing Horse 10 Early No Line no comparable turf routes within 90 days Horse 11 SP No Line no comparable turf routes within 90 days Horse 12 EP Line 2 excuse line 1 Too high class Horse 13 Presser No Line no comparable turf routes within 90 days Horse 14 Sus No Line no comparable turf routes within 90 days Now My top 5 TPR horses 12, 4 7 6 2 Step 4 Who has the top EPR The 6 has the best EPR 85 Early Presser Can It go wire to wire = against the horses with pace lines yes it could , The top TPR horses They are 12 4 7-6 tie Top 3 VDC = 12 7 2 My bets The 6 beats the 1 in EPR The 7 is a question mark because of the distance and poor effort in line 4 12 Is The best LPR and TPR The 4 has too long a layoff The 2 is my OTE horse and its top 3 VDC with so many question marks i would probably pass If I had to bet i would look OTE my bets 12 and 2 |
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