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Hat Check - How Can We Help You? Jim 'The Hat' Bradshaw - Learn The Matchup |
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10-16-2006, 02:34 AM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: I live in Toronto, Ontario, can
Posts: 220
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The Practice Race
Running styles:
#1 S #2 S #3 S #4 P #5 E #6 E #7 S #8 S The Tandems are: 2,3, 8 Poco Bueno 2,3, Criminal Mind 2,6 Seeking the show 3,6 Esclarecido The 1ST call Projeceted Pace is 47.3 The way I see the race is that 6 should take the lead and wire the field. Because in his last race he ran head and head for the first two calls at a 47.1 and he still managed to get 2nd. The #5 can not do better than a 47.3 The only two horses that I am afraid of is the #2 horse because he beat the 6 in the tandem race. But, the #6 did not get the lead in that race. The other horse I am afraid of is that Sprinter the #7 horse. He looks to be the fastest horse in here, But his last 4 races were REALLY BAD. |
10-16-2006, 03:29 AM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 467
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I like the 1 and the 8.
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10-16-2006, 04:43 AM | #13 |
Administrator
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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where the streets have no names
Hi Jim and Rich
here is my attempt at this practice race for Running styles 1. NF= No Form Sprinter 2. SUS 3. NF 4. SUS 5. Early 6. Early 7. NF 8. Sus For first call Proj time= 47.4 or 1 (its hard to see the numbers on my screen shot) For tandems horse 3 and horse 6 but its hard without the names to be sure I see the 5 and 6 as early but not too good I would enter them into my program then match up the best of the four Sus runners and bet the best two Bill Last edited by admin; 10-16-2006 at 04:47 AM. |
10-16-2006, 07:25 AM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 878
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Sustain 4 Horses 1-2-3-4
Presser 1 Horse 8 E/P 1 Horse 5 Early 1 Horse 6 Poco Bueno tandem 2-3-8 keep 8 Escalerecido tandem 3-6 keep 6 All the horses kind of sucks Contenders 5-6-8 Projected time 47.1 113 #5 line3 time 47.4 113 pos 1 1 #6 line1 time 47.1 113 pos 1 1 #8 line3 time 47.3 113.2 pos 6 3 If we use units of energy we have #6 on the lead at 1st.call #5 4 BL Behind #8 8 BL behind #6 on the lead at 2nd. call #5 4 BL behind #8 7 BL behind the rest of the field will suck air Pino |
10-16-2006, 12:58 PM | #15 | ||
True Disciple of Voodoo
Join Date: May 2006
Location: EarthQuake country( cali , baby)
Posts: 349
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Quote:
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10-16-2006, 07:04 PM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Result
Here is the result chart of the race.
Looking at the # 7 he appears to have changed his running style in last 4 races. the pace of race fractions on the # 6 last race 23.0 - 47.1 - 113.0 comparing the earlies ( #6 last line with # 5 line 3) the # 6 has a FIVE lenght lead over the 5 at first fraction 23 compared to 24 the # 6 has an ADDITIONAL 3 lenght lead at the 1c - 47.1 compared to 47.4 that is EIGHT lenghts - a CRUSH in favor of the 6 On top of this the 6 also has stored EXTRA units of energy because of the "HEADING" at the 1c and 2c. Talk about gilding the lilly at this point the race is OVER and a sauntering to the betting window is called for. EIGHT lenght edge over the ONLY other early PLUS extra units of stored energy because of the heading that happened at 1c and 2c How fast can you say " SPOT PLAY EARLY" Result chart shows the CRUSH clearly "Take these all day long Rich. All day long." - "The Hat"
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10-16-2006, 08:30 PM | #17 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 467
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Quote:
Thanks, Richie, much appreciated. |
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10-16-2006, 08:59 PM | #18 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
it's cool. I miss **** too. One of the things I can tell you to help picking things like this up is FOCUS on the LEFT side of the running line. While most look to the right of the running line ( finish, speed rating, track variant, adjusted times etc etc) the matchup JIM'S way looks LEFT for it's hidden power. 1) Break 2) 1st fraction in routes 3) 1c 4) 2c 5) running styles based on 1c POSITION 6) Understanding that a gain or loss of POSITIONS involves units of ENERGY Of this I am CERTAIN ok? ---------------------------------------------------------------------- These last 2 races involve early PATTERNS on very STRONG horses. I can not tell you how important it is to get these races in your "HEAD" ok? I am serious. **Tip** - Handicap every race the SAME way. Whether a 4.5f DIRT race at CT to an 11f TURF race at Belmont. Work every race the SAME way. Do they always win? We know the answer is no. However I have never had a game plan so CLEAR in my mind. This comes from working hundreds of races with Jim and seeig him do the same process regardless of distace or surface. Richie
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10-16-2006, 10:11 PM | #19 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 206
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Rich, well i blew that one. Have a question though, I looked at the 6s 1st line but..it was on the slop. So I take it yourself and Jim use these lines???
thanks for the race, it was fun! Doug ps: Wondering how do you and Jim feel about using offtrack lines?? |
10-17-2006, 08:16 AM | #20 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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[QUOTE=dugoutgold;12713]Rich, well i blew that one. Have a question though, I looked at the 6s 1st line but..it was on the slop. So I take it yourself and Jim use these lines???
QUOTE] Hi Doug, I use ALL the lines in the pp's so YES I use off track lines. BTW you didn't blow" the race. We just learned something! That's EXACTLY what Jim tells me when I miss so I "pass it down the line" to you! We learned something stay cool Rich
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