Looking beyong the numbers - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 07-18-2006, 04:17 PM

Got this email from my buddy who likes to remain anonymous:

"Richie,
Check this horse out.
CT #10 MC $5000 3 YOup 6.5F
I'm wondering if any of the Sartinians would have bet this horse.
What make this horse a contender? Check this out:
WORKOUTS
7-8---> 4F 50.4--------7 DAYS
7-1---> 5F 104.2-------7 DAYS
6-24-> 5F 104.3-------7 DAYS
6-17-> 4F 48.4---------9 DAYS
6-8---> 4F 51.1---------5 DAYS
6-3---> 5F 106.2-------5 DAYS
5-27-> 4F 52.1---------9 DAYS
5-18-> 3F 37.2
Assuming a 6F race, this horse would have run 5.6 races at 6F in a span of 49 days, which means, the horse would have run a race every 8.75 days. About that for CONDITIONING.
My point is: how many people go as far as looking other factors in selecting contenders. I know the HAT doesn't, but there is only one Hat. I think this is a good example race for any handicapper to look behind the obvious.
BTW, the horse came in 2nd. and paid 6.60/1.
I didn't bet the race cause I had to cut the grass, beside I have been doing very good at CT in the last 2 days. I will send you my races readouts from Syn with the bets included.
You might want to post the horse in question and see how many Sartinians would have bet him."

RichieP · 07-18-2006, 04:20 PM

screen shot of the horse

Ted Craven · 07-18-2006, 05:23 PM

Ct 07/16 #10

07-18-2006, 04:20 PM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	screen shot of the horse Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

07-18-2006, 05:23 PM	#3
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,859	Ct 07/16 #10 Attached Images __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

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07-18-2006, 04:17 PM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Looking beyong the numbers Got this email from my buddy who likes to remain anonymous: "Richie, Check this horse out. CT #10 MC $5000 3 YOup 6.5F I'm wondering if any of the Sartinians would have bet this horse. What make this horse a contender? Check this out: WORKOUTS 7-8---> 4F 50.4--------7 DAYS 7-1---> 5F 104.2-------7 DAYS 6-24-> 5F 104.3-------7 DAYS 6-17-> 4F 48.4---------9 DAYS 6-8---> 4F 51.1---------5 DAYS 6-3---> 5F 106.2-------5 DAYS 5-27-> 4F 52.1---------9 DAYS 5-18-> 3F 37.2 Assuming a 6F race, this horse would have run 5.6 races at 6F in a span of 49 days, which means, the horse would have run a race every 8.75 days. About that for CONDITIONING. My point is: how many people go as far as looking other factors in selecting contenders. I know the HAT doesn't, but there is only one Hat. I think this is a good example race for any handicapper to look behind the obvious. BTW, the horse came in 2nd. and paid 6.60/1. I didn't bet the race cause I had to cut the grass, beside I have been doing very good at CT in the last 2 days. I will send you my races readouts from Syn with the bets included. You might want to post the horse in question and see how many Sartinians would have bet him." __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"