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Matchup Discussion Matchup Discussion and Practice |
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10-25-2014, 12:25 PM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 846
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Tough race and will probably pass on this.I'll just give an opinion.
My contenders are 3-4-5-13 and probable pace of 49.4 and 112.3. #13 and #3 to win. Ray |
10-25-2014, 01:08 PM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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My Winning Group:
4/13/12/5 Todays Projected Pace: 49.6/113.6 Early Scenario: I believe this race will run early because of the preponderence of late and slow horses. RDSS points me to 12 and 5 as having the best energy distribution of the horses that are contenders to achieve this. Tandems: Many tandem relationships helped weed out slower horses to the above four horses. Conclusion: Bet 12 and 5 at sufficient odds. If not, bet 4 and then 13 if they qualify. Pook |
10-25-2014, 01:53 PM | #13 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 168
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WO 7 Oct 25
The presence of a sprinter going route makes it very difficult for the early route horses.
6 Twilig showed a 48.8 workout over poly. Should go faster in a real race. 12 and 13 out of the faster tandem can press that pace. Matching the OTE group 2nd call to stretch against similar times shows the 3 and 12 with power moves. So, 3 to Win. Two horse win bet with W/P on 12 since the price should be higher. |
10-25-2014, 03:11 PM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,035
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10-25-2014, 04:43 PM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,035
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Pook, nice job!!
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10-25-2014, 11:43 PM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Result
Pook tabs another one! Others had the winner in their final contender mix too. I'll have some feedback soon, but for now, here is the chart...
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10-26-2014, 09:03 AM | #17 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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Thanks Mike....the 5 ran from farther off the pace than I expected but in his PP's his 2 wins were from well off and moderately off. He seems to run both ways and I chose his last race as the paceline which I think was the right one. I think he found himself in a situation where he didn't expend his energy to be on pace and was able to use it all later.
Maybe Pete could speak to this but I find sometimes that you expect the race and or your selections to run a certain way but they don't and still you have a positive result. Thanks Pete for your feedback. Pook |
10-26-2014, 09:58 AM | #18 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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Further to my point above and in kind of answering myself, I find matching up forces one to get into a race and really dig around unearthing contenders with good chances, no matter how the race actually runs. Would you concur Pete?
Pook |
10-26-2014, 10:02 AM | #19 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,035
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Pook, your thought process was right on.
Underestimated the closing ability of the Ryder Kay, my thought was that he would be closer to a fast pace and this would hurt his finish. Looks like the last race took too much out of Seawatch (6 year old), and she was closer to the pace than I anticipated. My pace of race was pretty good (48-112/2: race 48/3-112/4). Good mind exercise (tough race). Thanks Pete |
10-26-2014, 11:29 AM | #20 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 130
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Does anyone know where VOODOOFAN went or what happened to him, I'm curious, I loved his posts in the MatchUp?
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