Multiple "E" runners - Fri and Sat - Penn - Haw - Prx

[Bill V.]

Tandems
1-7
1Mar11 Pen 5.5 22.4 46.4 59 105.9 72
2-6
10Jan Pen 6.0 22.4 45.8 58.8 112.5 79
4-3
5Mar Pen 6.0 22.1 45.1 58 111.6 94

The 5 is my key horse. Its a Pure Early
Has the FPLR on the lead 21.9 44.7 57.1 109.8

Question ? two very strong races then layed up for 128 days
will it come back to run that pace?

that said I will use the 4-3 5March Tandem race as the
Projected pace of race
22.1 45.1 58 104.2 From Hat chart

Running Style Powerlines

Pure Early
Horse 5 Twosteps Closer 22.4 45.6 106.0 from line 2
Horse 7 Flying Son 22.3 45.6 105.6 from line 1 FPLR

Early and E/P
Horse 2 Jules Caesar 22.2 46.4 105.3 From line 3

E/P
Horse 1 Master Mariner 22.4 46.4 105.8 line 1
Horse 3 Ready For Duty 22.1 45.5 104.9 line 2

S/P
Horse 6 Love Treasures 22.6 45.8 105.9 Line 2
Horse 4 Consort 22.1 45.1 105.4 line 2

Sus
None

Matching Horses
with the 2 earlys with slower powerlines
and multible pressers I see the race OTE
Horse 5-7 Early out
Horse 6 out
Horse 1 2 could win with a slower pace not today
Horse 3 can pass horses has won from position 6
and the 5-7 fast early pace could turn the 4-3 tandem around

matching horses

My bets are the 3 and 4

GS
Bill

[Bill V.]

workup of Hawthorne race

Horses lines on the lead or within 1 bl while trying for lead

hawthorne
           Br  Pos. By  Fin. Pass horses 
Horse 1 E and E/P
   Line 7   2   2 -.5   1     Yes
   Line 5   1   1 -.hd  2     No 
   Line 4   2   2 -.5   3     Yes
   Line 1   3   2 -.5   2     Yes 

Horse 2 SUS
  Line 2    1   2 -.hd  5     No

Horse 3 Early
  Line 10   1   1 -1    2     Yes
  Line 9    2   1 -.5   1     Yes
  Line 7    4   2 -.hd  1     Yes
  Line 3    3   1 - 1   2     yes
  Line 1    1   2 -.5   2     Yes
   
Horse 4 Early
  Line10    1   1 - 1   1     No W/W
  Line9     2   1 - 1   2     Yes
  Line7     2   2 -.5   3     No
  Line2     1   1 - 1   1     no W/W
  Line1     1   2 -.hd  1     No W/W

5. SUS

6. SUS

Horse 7 Early
  Line9     4   2 -.5   1     Yes
  Line8     4   2 -.5   1     Yes
  Line7     2   1 - 1.5 1     Yes
  Line5     2   1 - 2.5 1     Yes 
  Line4     1   1 -.5   2     No
  Line3     1   2 -.hd  5     No
  Line1     1   1 -.5   4     No

Horse 8  Early
  Line9     1   1 - 2   1     No W/W
  Line7     2   2 -.5   4     No
  Line5     1   1 - 1   2     No
  Line4     2   1 -.5   5     Yes
  Line3     1   1 - 1   4     No
  Line2     1   1 - 1.5 1     No W/W
  Line1     3   1 - 1.5 1     No W/W

[emilio840]

Hi to all. I have been away for a while.

I like #5 to win. I will not bet it because I think he is going to be less than even money.

But if he goes off at 2-1 or more I will bet it.

The 5 comes out of the fastest pace in its last race amd I have had many winners from this type of race. I have won about 5 out of every 10 races. So, this is the one that I pick to win.

[mikesal57]

Originally Posted by emilio840

Hi to all. I have been away for a while.

I like #5 to win. I will not bet it because I think he is going to be less than even money.

But if he goes off at 2-1 or more I will bet it.

The 5 comes out of the fastest pace in its last race amd I have had many winners from this type of race. I have won about 5 out of every 10 races. So, this is the one that I pick to win.

I hope that many see it your way and then a "value" horse will pop up...
EM( or ever else wants to answer)...tell me what you see about the 5 horse???(hint:not the PP's)

[mikesal57]

I'm going with the 2 & 4

[Bill V.]

Originally Posted by mikesal57

I'm going with the 2 & 4

Nice big win Mike 5/1 on the 2

pattern 2 or 3 early - wins from pos. 4 4 2 1

[emilio840]

Mike

nice pick!!!!

[PeteC]

Way to go Mike!

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by mikesal57

I hope that many see it your way and then a "value" horse will pop up...
EM( or ever else wants to answer)...tell me what you see about the 5 horse???(hint:not the PP's)

First, a very nice selection with the #2, win or lose. Getting the best horse at 5/1 is a very nice opportunity.

I looked at the #5 very hard since it was the favorite and I always want to know if I can beat the favorite.

The first thing I saw was that the #5 had not run a race in more than 4 months. I have posted many times that 95% of all winners have run a race in the last 90 days.

Equally as bad, this is a favorite that is now a 3 year old running against older horses and, in fact, has never run against anything but 2 year olds!! What a bad bet for those many people that bet this horse.

It certainly pays to understand horse racing.

[mikesal57]

thxs gentleman....

what I was trying to say before...

look at #5.....he last raced vs 2 year olds..now hes racing against 4 yr olds

Even though he looks good , in this race he would be moving up and be a reasonable doubt to win this..there was a few "earlies" in this so he wouldn't have it easy up front either

All in all a good race to bet against the favorite

mike