Kentucky Derby

[cct2447]

I had 8 and 19 but those would not have been
the choices based on RDSS2--I'll Have Another was
a 0 or 1 won. I did the internal fractions from the SA
Derby and based my bet on that--I don't see how the
Wood Memorial or some other races were higher rated.
Thanks and good luck in the Preakness.

[raceman5]

nice redboard

[pktruckdriver]

Originally Posted by pktruckdriver

I will make 6 horses my picks if the track becomes muddy

3 / 4 / 6 / 11 / 15 / 16


Without mud, then I am more confused, but may look to the following...

Alpha
Gemologist
El Padrino
Bodemiester
Dullahan
Take Charge Indy
I'll have another
Went the day well

there you have it, as you can see I have no Idea who will win this race

Dullahan /Bodemiester would be my keys

Well it seems the top 4 were in my group, but without proper wager structering I was unable to become a winner of the big payout.

If say , I would do the following bets with with my keys in 1st and 2nd , and this is big time if after the fact, because I did not do this, and with others and a nice Bank roll to work with, then maybe it might have happened. The following is for a 1.00 dollar wager. As you see above my keys were the 5 and 6 horse's, Bodemiester and Dullahan

$1 Trifecta: 1,2 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8
Bets: 84 Total: $84

$1 Trifecta: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 / 1,2 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8
Bets: 84 Total: $84

Total wager 168.00 won 1532.80 nice hit

To wager the super in the 1 st and 2nd spot , more pricey for sure...

$1 Superfecta: 1,2 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8
Bets: 420 Total: $420

$1 Superfecta: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 / 1,2 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 / 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8
Bets: 420 Total: $420

Cost for this 840.00 , too much for me to even think about making this wager

But if done the payout was 48,046.40 a very nice hit, but who knew, oh well


This is the dream of the Derby , the payouts, yet this year I again did not hit the big one, actually only played a 42.00 super with and well we know the outcome.

$1 Superfecta: 1,2 / 1,2,3 / 2,3,4,5,6 / 2,3,4,5,6
Bets: 42 Total: $42

I see PeteC did a nice job picking the winner in the Match-up, Kudos to him

patrick

[cct2447]

Sorry you didn't get my point.
I ran this thru several times and
couldn't get above a 0 or a 1 on
Bl/BL and I coudn't see how the
other prep races rated above the SA Derby.
I looked at the 4f-6f and 6f to final fractions
for that race--same thing happened with another
program for 'Vindication' when he won the
BC Juvenile--his BL/BL was below other contenders,
and I didn't bet him. And this is what I'm
having problems with. There was no logic, no reasoning,
and is there a solution with RDSS or similar programs?

[trotman]

Open up Black Magic and I'll Have Another was right on top with Bodemeister as the fulcrum and Dullahan was picked for second, not bad for something that others like to rip apart.

[atlasaxis]

Trots, by any chance did you run your lines thru the manual Taulbot Pace Calc???