Match Parx Race 7 4/5/11 - Pace and Cap

Bill V. · 04-05-2011, 08:35 AM

Here is todays race 7 5000 claimers 8.3 furlongs

a field of 9 Many tandems looks like good value off the morning line

Screens have apv records and tandems

Good Skill
Bill
Miami FL

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Bill V. · 04-05-2011, 08:39 AM

2 and 3

Bill V. · 04-05-2011, 08:41 AM

4 and 5

Bill V. · 04-05-2011, 08:44 AM

6 and 7

Bill V. · 04-05-2011, 08:46 AM

8 and 9

PeteC · 04-05-2011, 01:34 PM

Good morning Bill, hope all is well. To me, these are some tough races you’ve been posting up lately. It’s good to go through the match-up step by step instead of just quickly looking for spot plays.

I am looking at the 6 and the 7 as the early horses here. I’ll project a pace of 48.3 113.4. Neither of them looks like they can win early today so I’m looking for an OTE winner.

I will take the 8 as my top pick. Using line 4 as the power line:

46.1 112.2 143 9-7-3-3

#4 is my second choice. The last two races are ugly, but there are some better races at today’s track prior to that.

Ted Craven · 04-05-2011, 01:46 PM

FWIW,

My BLBL also gives me #4 and #8 in the win position.

Ted

Bill V. · 04-05-2011, 02:58 PM

The 5 is out track is wet

Tandems
1/3 3 oct 24.4 48.9 113.7 143.3
1-7 12Jun 10 25 48.6 113.2 140..6 1 mile to 8.3 ?
next

2/3/8/9 17Jan Parx 8.3 24.5 49.2 113.5 143.3

next

4/5 oct23 Parx 8.3 23.2 46.8 111.7 143.6
next
4/5 Nov2310 Parx 8.3 46.8 111.7 143.6

FPLR
Only horse 2 shows much last race on a muddy track
24.2 48.6 113.7 147.2 4 4 5 4 2.4 bl

Running Styles
H1 Wrath of Evan S/P
H2 Bernulli E/P 23.7 47.8
H3 Sovereign Fund SUS slow
H4 Andy L SUS
H5 Oldham S/P
H6 Dancing Nick Early E/P 24.2 48.6
H7 Soldier Sam E/P 24.1 48.7
H8 Deputyville SUS
H9 Bearific S/P

The 2 and 6 are the only ones I can see taking the lead
I will use the last race for horse 2
as todays projected pace 24.2 48.6 113.7 145.4

I see the race as OTE
my bets are on the 1 and 2

Good Skill
Bill V.
Ft. Luaderdale FL

cdax · 04-05-2011, 03:02 PM

Looking at Ted's screen, I'm still reluctant to throw out the 6 horse even with a high of 68 (equal to POR). I just can't discount that 41% even though he is not a dominate.

So my picks look like 6,2,8,3. Win bet on 3,6,8 and box all four in the exacta.

Chris

mikesal57 · 04-05-2011, 03:04 PM

Ted

How do you get a 68 for pace of race?

Shouldn't it be the highest "low" of the early horses?

04-05-2011, 08:35 AM	#1
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Match Parx Race 7 4/5/11 Here is todays race 7 5000 claimers 8.3 furlongs a field of 9 Many tandems looks like good value off the morning line Screens have apv records and tandems Good Skill Bill Miami FL

04-05-2011, 08:39 AM	#2
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	horses 2 and 3

04-05-2011, 08:41 AM	#3
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	horses 4 and 5

04-05-2011, 08:46 AM	#5
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	last 2 8 and 9

04-05-2011, 01:46 PM	#7
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,880	FWIW, My BLBL also gives me #4 and #8 in the win position. Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

04-05-2011, 08:44 AM	#4
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	horse 6 and 7

04-05-2011, 01:34 PM	#6
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Good morning Bill, hope all is well. To me, these are some tough races you’ve been posting up lately. It’s good to go through the match-up step by step instead of just quickly looking for spot plays. I am looking at the 6 and the 7 as the early horses here. I’ll project a pace of 48.3 113.4. Neither of them looks like they can win early today so I’m looking for an OTE winner. I will take the 8 as my top pick. Using line 4 as the power line: 46.1 112.2 143 9-7-3-3 #4 is my second choice. The last two races are ugly, but there are some better races at today’s track prior to that.

04-05-2011, 02:58 PM	#8
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Scratch 5 The 5 is out track is wet Tandems 1/3 3 oct 24.4 48.9 113.7 143.3 1-7 12Jun 10 25 48.6 113.2 140..6 1 mile to 8.3 ? next 2/3/8/9 17Jan Parx 8.3 24.5 49.2 113.5 143.3 next 4/5 oct23 Parx 8.3 23.2 46.8 111.7 143.6 next 4/5 Nov2310 Parx 8.3 46.8 111.7 143.6 FPLR Only horse 2 shows much last race on a muddy track 24.2 48.6 113.7 147.2 4 4 5 4 2.4 bl Running Styles H1 Wrath of Evan S/P H2 Bernulli E/P 23.7 47.8 H3 Sovereign Fund SUS slow H4 Andy L SUS H5 Oldham S/P H6 Dancing Nick Early E/P 24.2 48.6 H7 Soldier Sam E/P 24.1 48.7 H8 Deputyville SUS H9 Bearific S/P The 2 and 6 are the only ones I can see taking the lead I will use the last race for horse 2 as todays projected pace 24.2 48.6 113.7 145.4 I see the race as OTE my bets are on the 1 and 2 Good Skill Bill V. Ft. Luaderdale FL

04-05-2011, 03:02 PM	#9
cdax Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Allentown, PA Posts: 253	Looking at Ted's screen, I'm still reluctant to throw out the 6 horse even with a high of 68 (equal to POR). I just can't discount that 41% even though he is not a dominate. So my picks look like 6,2,8,3. Win bet on 3,6,8 and box all four in the exacta. Chris

04-05-2011, 03:04 PM	#10
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Ted How do you get a 68 for pace of race? Shouldn't it be the highest "low" of the early horses? __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

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