EVD 5th -- Wednesday, Jan. 18 - Pace and Cap

alydar_ David · 01-18-2006, 05:07 AM

EVD 5th -- Wednesday, Jan. 18

Evangeline Downs is an interesting track with lots of big fields, chaos races and godzilla payoffs.

This looks like an excellent card.

The fifth is a classic chaos race with several close contenders, varied running styles and recency puzzlers.

I used some custom made software, Sartin based, to plow through the race.

Here's the gist of it.

#6 Greeley's Best is the only horse that can run to 1C par. He also has the best overall pace rating and is tied for Total Energy. His morning line of 5-1 might be a little high, but then again this is a chaos race. So, maybe not.

#8 Cheery Hour is the fastest horse in the race and appears to be in okay form. 6-1 seems acceptable.

#9 Hi Plains Thunder is the probable favorite. And even though running to par won't be a problem, something rubs me the wrong way about this horse. I guess you have to use him for exotics.

#3 Rectify is the class of the race and will probably run well if the track is moist. The Total Energy is nothing to write home about though.

And saving the best for last...#10 Frome is my top choice to win at 8-1.
By the numbers this horse is competetive, although not a standout. The back class and trainer moves make this my pick in a very competetive race.

I'll take #6 and #10 to win.

For the exotics I'll play spin the bottle and also toss #11 into the mix.

Be interesting to see what others come up with in this fourteen horse affair.

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Switch to Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Threaded Mode

01-18-2006, 05:07 AM	#1
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	EVD 5th -- Wednesday, Jan. 18 EVD 5th -- Wednesday, Jan. 18 Evangeline Downs is an interesting track with lots of big fields, chaos races and godzilla payoffs. This looks like an excellent card. The fifth is a classic chaos race with several close contenders, varied running styles and recency puzzlers. I used some custom made software, Sartin based, to plow through the race. Here's the gist of it. #6 Greeley's Best is the only horse that can run to 1C par. He also has the best overall pace rating and is tied for Total Energy. His morning line of 5-1 might be a little high, but then again this is a chaos race. So, maybe not. #8 Cheery Hour is the fastest horse in the race and appears to be in okay form. 6-1 seems acceptable. #9 Hi Plains Thunder is the probable favorite. And even though running to par won't be a problem, something rubs me the wrong way about this horse. I guess you have to use him for exotics. #3 Rectify is the class of the race and will probably run well if the track is moist. The Total Energy is nothing to write home about though. And saving the best for last...#10 Frome is my top choice to win at 8-1. By the numbers this horse is competetive, although not a standout. The back class and trainer moves make this my pick in a very competetive race. I'll take #6 and #10 to win. For the exotics I'll play spin the bottle and also toss #11 into the mix. Be interesting to see what others come up with in this fourteen horse affair.