Arkansas Derby Grade 1 1,000,000

[Bill V.]

I will post my look in a while

winner of the 2004 Arkansas Derby
SMARTY JONES !!!!

Go Smarty Go !!!!


https://youtu.be/_1lAfa7hYxU

[Bill V.]

1, 2, 3, 4

[Bill V.]

5,6,7,8

[Bill V.]

9,10,11,12

[raceman5]

I will use the tandem race of March18 R10

12-7-9


Bob

[Bill V.]

Grade 1 3 Year Old

Top 5 TPR last line 12, 7, 9, 3 ,4

fulcrum POR EPR 91.5 ( horse 12 )

Horses and notes .

Horse 1. Rocklin Rudy Early No recent + races routing Has never faced this Fulcrum POR
No Line

Horse 2.Classic Empire. Morning line favorite Line 1, is a plus pace line, This is also new form cycle today
Line 2 is a great line but I think line 1 is representative for a 70 day layoff ability

Horse 3 Silver Dust Sustained Line 1 rates well ( top 5 TPR ) but today the EPR will have to improve
He only shows 1 win against a slow MS pace

Horse 4 Petrov EP With 3 year olds, I will excuse line 1 if line 2 is better and both are + pacelines
within the current form cycle. Line 2

Horse 5 Grandpa's Dream 30/1 Early Line 1 is his maiden wn ( sentimental pick for Marianna Sartin )
but 30/1 and a slow POR EPR

Horse 6 Lookin At Lee Sustained Great horse for ITM but what to do for a paceline ?
Line 2 looks good but it is a trouble line ?

Horse 7 Sonneteer Sustained Line 1 is a plus paceline but he has never won a race !

Horse 8 Rowdy The Warrior Line 1 is a a plus paceline but 30/1
This one just seems weak in the LPR

Horse 9 Untrapped Sustained Presser Line 1 is a plus paceline

Horsee 10 One Dreamy Dude Sustained still a maiden

Horse 11 Conquest Mo Money Early Line 1 is a plus paceline

Horse 12 Malagacy Early Presser Line 1 is a plus paceline

[Lt1]

My contenders are 12-2-9-4-11
#2 L2 moves up to G1 after loss in G2 Holy Bull Counter energy
#4 L2 moves up gets class test
#9 L2 3rd G2 Rebel last looks to be headed in right direction
#11 L2 3RD IN G3 Sunland Derby regular comes in for ride wise guy horse
#12 L1 Winner of the G2 Rebel. Is 3-3 with increasing energy numbers.

Pending the odds right now I'm leaning to 12-2-9-4-11. Will also be looking at the 3 &7 underneath to juice up exotics.
Tim G

[Bill V.]

Lone Speed Tim and Lostandwon all had the 11 Conquest
at a nice price and almost won !

Nice place betting !!!!

Classic Empire wins

[Mitch44]

12-2-9-4--5

12 L 1 2 L 2, 9 L 2,4 L 2, 5 L 1 Picked these lines using What Bill put up.

12 has never lost
2 maybe better shorter and may have peaked last year
9 improving and last best, should like distance.
4 real speed at shorter and rates, a danger
5 on improve
Mitch44

[mowens33]

Looking for a win price with the 4 and 7

Back it up with the 2 and 12 in a Perfecta

Good Skill

Mike