Live Play Churchill Mother's Day

[pktruckdriver]

Race 1

line 2 / horse 2 ml 3-1 bl/bl 22.5 1

line 3 / horse 3 ml 15 bl/bl 22.3 1

Horse 5 ml 5/2, favorite using lines 1 and 6 both keep it out of being a contender in this race, yet in tandems she has a win againgst others, and has major class drop here, possibly to get a check, as this horse does know how to win.

So according to Doc

2 , 3 and 5 now wait for best odds to dutch bet 2 to win

right now 20 mtp win bet 2 and 3

Question is this a race I should pass, I think not, if so why, please

[Ted Craven]

Race may well have run by the time I post this, but...



I agree, 3 and 2 and I'd back the 3 with a Place wager at least. % looks opposite energy, and would make an exacta.

I would not pass this race, as the bet-time odds look entirely playable, and the favourite #4 has at least some weaknesses.

Let's see!

Ted

[pktruckdriver]

Originally Posted by pktruckdriver

Race 1

line 2 / horse 2 ml 3-1 bl/bl 22.5 1

line 3 / horse 3 ml 15 bl/bl 22.3 1

Horse 5 ml 5/2, favorite using lines 1 and 6 both keep it out of being a contender in this race, yet in tandems she has a win againgst others, and has major class drop here, possibly to get a check, as this horse does know how to win.

So according to Doc

2 , 3 and 5 now wait for best odds to dutch bet 2 to win

right now 20 mtp win bet 2 and 3




Question is this a race I should pass, I think not, if so why, please

winner 2 8.20

[pktruckdriver]

Thanks Ted

Race 2 is a pass a bunch of FTS 2yr olds

looking at breeding and trainers and works if had to play it would be

the folowing horses 3 and 5 , but as mentioned this is a PASS RACE


My snag it doesn't work to well I will need time top fix it and be able to post screen shots

[Ted Craven]

You have to have a fairly good hit rate to survive on 3/2 shots (net, i.e. bet 2 horses with lower odds at 3-1). Of course in this event, we were hoping for the 18-1. The 3-1 winner was close to a breakeven 'hedge' (with a little something left over for tomorrow). I would probably not bet both a 3-1 and even 4-1 top ranked. Perhaps in some kind of exacta, or trifecta - certainly in a horizontal (DD, P3, P4).

Good luck today Patrick! (I'm gone after this.)

Ted

[pktruckdriver]

Race 3

horse 2 seems to be a live ml fav and a horse to beat here

3 and 1 are underneath but way underneath

This seems to be a another pass race as the 2 could be a key horse in exotics like pick 3 or dd, but at 7/5 ml I will pass again

[Bill V.]

Hey heads up Race 3 Belmont
Think this one is a horse that follows horses
7 places in a row?

[pktruckdriver]

Race 4

2 and 6

3 and 7 also contenders

I will pass this race as no value is here

if one was to play , then exacta 26/2367

[pktruckdriver]

Thanks Bill

This time he won going away, I had him to the 4 and 6 in the exacta, but not the 2 as there no value there, oh well

Thanks for the tip off

Patrick

[Bill V.]

hey Pat Crowd puts over $20,000 on #1 to place

horse wins at 4/5