Beginners / Refresher Teaching Thread - Pace and Cap

Capcondo · 10-21-2014, 12:02 PM

Pete,

Thanks for putting up this race. I haven't done the 5 step approach in a while. I'm going to try and follow the instructions exactly.

1. ESP

1 S needs to run against a 23.0 (all times in fifths of a second)
1A S Can handle a 22.1
2 E/P 22.1
3 E 22.3 from last race not fighting as of late
4 E 22.1 Only one off the lead effort and it was early
5 This horse is going south. Can't handle fractions from 4 or 5 races back.
6 E Last two way too fast early. Can handle 22.1 and fight.
7 S 22.4
8 No way
9 Can't get past last three.

Pace:

I am going to use the 6's race three back 22.1 45.1 57.3 1:04.2

Analysis:

The 4 and 6 are the only early horses with a chance. The 3 is too slow. There are a couple of tandems here (Astral/Nasty Cat and Astral/Blond on Blond) which involve non-contenders and are slow. The 4 may be able to stay with the 6 through the first call but the 6 will then pull away. The 6 is my choice.

GL

Tim

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10-21-2014, 12:02 PM	#14
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Pete, Thanks for putting up this race. I haven't done the 5 step approach in a while. I'm going to try and follow the instructions exactly. 1. ESP 1 S needs to run against a 23.0 (all times in fifths of a second) 1A S Can handle a 22.1 2 E/P 22.1 3 E 22.3 from last race not fighting as of late 4 E 22.1 Only one off the lead effort and it was early 5 This horse is going south. Can't handle fractions from 4 or 5 races back. 6 E Last two way too fast early. Can handle 22.1 and fight. 7 S 22.4 8 No way 9 Can't get past last three. Pace: I am going to use the 6's race three back 22.1 45.1 57.3 1:04.2 Analysis: The 4 and 6 are the only early horses with a chance. The 3 is too slow. There are a couple of tandems here (Astral/Nasty Cat and Astral/Blond on Blond) which involve non-contenders and are slow. The 4 may be able to stay with the 6 through the first call but the 6 will then pull away. The 6 is my choice. GL Tim