AP 6/22 - Race 8 Analysis - Pace and Cap

Ryan.p.coli · 06-25-2014, 12:33 AM

Arlington this past Sunday was a headache. They moved all turf races to the All-Weather Track. When working through these races Sunday morning, I found myself passing more races than not.
Name: Arlington R8 6.22.PNG
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Size: 57.8 KB

Name: Arlington R8 6.22.PNG
Views: 1557
Size: 57.8 KB

Keep in mind they moved this horse to the AWT. I couldn't really find usable dirt/AWT lines for #3 and #1A.

Also, take a look at the PP of the winner.
Name: Arlington R8 Winner.PNG
Views: 1559
Size: 112.7 KB

Name: Arlington R8 Winner.PNG
Views: 1559
Size: 112.7 KB

Last rate, trip comments said "Awkward Break," I thought that it was reasonable to skip that race. I ended up using the Hawthorn Dirt line, but it was reluctant. I really dislike using Hawthorn Race Track lines for Arlington AWT races.

I don't think I would have ever done this, but I did take comfort (going back through the race) in the fact that when I went back to September 19, 2013, RDSS showed me the top 3.

Name: Arlington R8 Analysis 2.PNG
Views: 1464
Size: 62.4 KB

Name: Arlington R8 Analysis 2.PNG
Views: 1464
Size: 62.4 KB

Here are the results.

Name: Race 8 Results.PNG
Views: 1551
Size: 13.3 KB

Let me know if anyone has an thoughts...

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06-25-2014, 12:33 AM	#1
Ryan.p.coli Grade 1 Join Date: May 2014 Location: Chicago Posts: 121	AP 6/22 - Race 8 Analysis Arlington this past Sunday was a headache. They moved all turf races to the All-Weather Track. When working through these races Sunday morning, I found myself passing more races than not. Keep in mind they moved this horse to the AWT. I couldn't really find usable dirt/AWT lines for #3 and #1A. Also, take a look at the PP of the winner. Last rate, trip comments said "Awkward Break," I thought that it was reasonable to skip that race. I ended up using the Hawthorn Dirt line, but it was reluctant. I really dislike using Hawthorn Race Track lines for Arlington AWT races. I don't think I would have ever done this, but I did take comfort (going back through the race) in the fact that when I went back to September 19, 2013, RDSS showed me the top 3. Here are the results. Let me know if anyone has an thoughts...