Kentucky Derby Day

[Bill V.]

Hi Sureshotlink,Giahorse and Lonespeed

The reason I did not post some horses even with plus last race pace lines
is that their TPR numbers are too low.
As we see Golden is far above the rest. Using the next group of horses
clustering at 177, if we use the Pace Makes The Race suggestion using as contenders horses within 5 points in TPR, both Orb and Itsmy both coming from the grade 1 FLA Derby just don't make the grade. Orb is close but with Golden so much higher and so many others ahead of it I drew the line and
eliminated ORB

As far as using other pace lines, I can't think of how a horse
who runs 1st 2nd or 3rd in a grade 1 -2 race can ever have a valid excuse to move down to a older pace line.