CT 6th -- 1/22/2013

[alydar_ David]

After reading Dave Edwards' post http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...8332#post88332

I thought it might be fun to put up a race and see who runs with it and where it goes.

Charles Town Race 6

CLAIMING. 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $11,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD
WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. Weight, 121 lbs.
Non-winners of a race since December 22, 2012 Allowed 2 lbs.
A race since November 22, 2012 Allowed 4 lbs.
Claiming Price $5,000, if for $4,500, allowed 1 lb.
(W V A Races Not Considered In Eligibility). (09:31 PM) (11)

http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...ate=2013-01-22

Here's some trainer information to chew on:

#1A Do Dolan
Coming off a layoff = 12%
4th off the claim = 10%
Won last sprint = 10%
Track, distance and surface = 8/48 or 16%
With Jockey = 1/6 or 16%

#4 Harlan's Crown
2nd sprint off layoff = 20%
Won sprint 2 races back = 19%
Track, distance and surface = 65/299 or 21%
With Jockey = 134/512 or 26%

#5 Movin to Utopia
Won sprint 2 races back = 21%
Track, distance and surface = 13/44 or 29%
With Jockey = 32/100 or 32%

#6 Mellieha Bay
Won sprint 4 races ago = 17%
Track, distance and surface = 17/57 or 29%
With Jockey = 0/3 or 0%

#9 Garden Gate
First sprint off the claim = 25%
Track, distance and surface = 23/103 or 22%
With Jockey = 34/169 or 20%

Toss Out:
#7 Hey U = Slow, 2nd sprint off layoff 8%
#8 Desert Baby = Slow, repeats sprint win 8%

Pay Attention:
#5 Movin to Utopia = Back to Ramirez who won last time he was up.
32% with trainer
8-1 Morning Line Odds

Of the eleven horse field I've eliminated two horses. You might consider them contenders.

Your mission, should you decide to accept it, is to pick the pacelines and contenders.