Betting Examples Discussion

[Bill V.]

So now we see different points of view Every one makes good points

Now its up to each person to look at the reflexion in the mirror
and ask yourself Do I truly want to win of do I not want somebody to get mad at me. Do you need insurance ? I do and without insurance their is disaster

Each of us

We must realize that no matter how much you want to be like FTL or anybody else It's not going to happen 100%
We each function with various physical emotional and mental ability. We each have our on ideas of success. We all can tolerate different levels of love/hate pain/pleasure work/play Not only that but we all have outside conflicts with family work and disposable income, lack of self esteem or physical handicaps that limit our own ability to wager in FTL's world. Of all the elements that effect our own abilities I feel the one that hurts us the most is indecision. One horse win only betters have a ability to isolate and make a decision on one horse and then decide if that one horse meets their acceptable odds minimum I feel there strength is not that they are better handicappers, Its that they have a better mental and physical ability to make decisions.

Rules

FTL offers a cold hard fact based point of view. But we do have the ability to win based on our own levels of confidence and decision making. There are no rules, FTL's betting rules would be appreciable if everybody had to bet the same races every day. Then those who bet correctly
in a group event would do better than 2 win or win/place betters In the learn to win contest and In the real world there are no assigned races. Does it really matter if only a very small percentage of 7/1 horses win in ALL races, if your program and your decision making says THIS 7/1 horse in THIS MATCH UP has a very good chance and if somehow the your OTHER win bet wins you can still make a very good profit with a back up place bet That to me is insurance By Insurance we mean the ability to compensate for our decision making ability.
So there really is no need for anybody to tell you how you should bet. You make the decision of the race, the odds. your readouts, THE MATCH UP of these condenders You don't need to handicap when your busy or when your wife is upset or you just don't feel well.

Constancy.

Nobody I have observed in all the years I have been here on pace and cap or all the years I have spent watching and learning from at the track is 100 % cold hard facts consistent. People make claims to be consistent but,nobody I know bets the same way in the real world every time. If you do you are in a very small minority and your in that minority because you made the decision to be. No one forced you to be what you are, why force people to do it your way.

There is only 1 out of about 20 people in the contest who is a 1 horse better Because of the real world race/.life elements
people are constantly looking at each race and deciding how is the best way to attck each race. I see positve ROI's there are no facts that can over ride real life betting If you doubt this take a look at the last month and of half of the learn to win contest look how often people change there betting methods
Why is this ?

Betting

Are people making unwise bets? Yes I agree, I don't see much sence in a $80 win bet and 2 $10 place bets
Thats were these discussions have value But to flat out say don't make win and place bets together is not in my opinion your right.
or a good approch for everybody. All you may end up doing is dscourage those who's ability and growth are not fully developed.
Let the seedlings grow and encourage wins and profit in a 20 race cyle. Than slowly fine tone peoples ability and decision making

Improvers

Take a look at the final standings of the June contest Better yet first look at the June 15th contest standings.
Notice how many people are doing better today then they did on June 15th or July 1st To me That's the true value of the Learn To Win Contest Its because many different methods are being presented
and its also because doing real races ahead of time is the real world
Lets show people things they can relate to and focus their decision making abilties on Stats and rules are good
but lets fine tune with real racing

It is what we do.


Bill