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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

 
 
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Old 01-06-2023, 06:34 PM   #1
Lt1
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Response to % Med Analysis Question

Viking 57 asked the following question.
Tim, nice hit, this one I did not get. When you are doing your %med analysis, are you using just the selected pace line or several races at surface/distance?
Hi Jim, I review the horses' entire pps. If it has 3 or more races with %meds at or over the range of of my model for the surface and dist. then I mark it either too early or late. If it has 2 races at or exceeding range I mark it as at the limit. Attached are 2 screens shots from r8 showing both examples. The range for 6f winners at MVR [my model] is 67.6 to 70.0. Here are the screen shots.
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The #2 has 2 races showing above 70% and line 1 is at 69.9%. I marked it as @ early top.
The #4 has 3 races showing above 70% so I mark it as too early.
Tim
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