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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race' |
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04-05-2016, 01:03 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Phase 1 race TUP race 6 4/5
My look at the 6th from Turf Paradise 5.5
Az Breds Cl 3000 3 + non winners of 1 race in 6 months or 4 races life time Horse 1 has 12 wins Horse 2 has 10 wins Rest of field have 3 wins each Step 1 Top 5 TPR Line 1 9 5 4 2 6 Step 2 Fulcrum horse #2 94.5 ( 44.7 ) Step 3 Running styles Horse 1 Sus line 1 20/1 ML Horse 2 Early Line 1 Horse 3 Press Line 2 Excuse line 1 First try at TUP Horse 4 EP line 1 Horse 5 Sus line 1 20/1 ML Horse 6 EP Line 1 Horse 7 EP Line 1 Horse 8 Press line 2 Horse 9 Press line 1 Step 4 Who has the top EPR The 2 has the best EPR 94.5 Early Presser Can It go wire to wire = No but it is inside the 4 6 and 7 However the 79.5 LPR is a knock Step 5 rate the lines make your decisions Can the top TPR # 9 win 2 in a row ? The top TPR horses They are 9 8 5 Top 3 VDC = 4 2 9-8 tie My bets 4 and 9 I will use the 5 in exactas |
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