Mountaineer first 3 races 12/7/09

[sq764]

I'll work on the screen shots later... Here is what I have for the first 3 at mountaineer tonight.. To say race 3 us potentially exciting is an understatement..


Race 1:

BL: VDC 1 = 1,6,9; VDC 2 = 10; VDC 3 = 4

ML Odds: 7/5, 10/1, 5/2, 6/1, 20/1

Likely Play = hide the 1 at 7/5, play the 6 at 10/1 ML and the 4 at 20/1ML



Race 2:

(Note: E/L Graph shows all speed, might look for top late pace which is #4 and #2)

BL: VDC 1 = 4; VDC 2 = 1,3; VDC 3 = 2

ML Odds: 3/1, 7/2, 6/1, 8/1

Likely Play: Definitely the 2 at 8/1 ML and will see where the 3 and 4 are at post time


Race 3:

BL: VDC 1 = 7; VDC 2 = 3,8; VDC 3 = 1,9

ML Odds: 20/1, 30/1, 10/1, 10/1, 3/1

Likely Play: Wow… Wow… 7 s 6.8 points BL score above the 2nd horse and he’s 20/1 ML… My play is the 7 and 3 to win and box 7,3,1,8 in exacta

[sq764]

Race 4:

(Note: 2/5 shot in here… 5 and 7 show only early speed)

BL: VDC 1= 7,1; VDC 3 = 5; VDC 4 = 6

ML Odds: 2/5, 6/1, 7/2, 30/1

Likely Play: PASS.. Just don’t see any value in a Maiden with a 2/5 shot that looks like a monster compared to this field


Race 5:

(Note: 9 shows possible Lone Early Speed)

BL: VDC 1 = 4,7; VDC 3 = 1,5; VDC 4 = 8

ML Odds: 3/1, 15/1, 20/1, 10/1, 2/1

Likely Play: Since 9 is 5/2 ML and likely short price as lone speed, will hide the 3/1 and 2/1 and play the 1,5 to win and box 1,5,8 exacta


Race 6:

BL: VDC 1 = 9; VDC 2 = 2,6; VDC 3 = 5, VDC 4 = 1

ML Odds: 9/2, 3/1, 4/1, 7/2, 6/1

Likely Play: Will have to wait for post time to see who is value of the 9,6,1… Otherwise pass..

[sq764]

Race 7:

(Note: E/L Graph shows all early speed, top 3 late pace are 2,6,9)

BL: VDC 1 = 2, VDC 2 = 5,9; VDC 4 = 3

ML Odds: 5/1, 3/1, 6/1, 8/1

Likely Play: I would likely hide the tepid ML favorite (the 5), and betting best Post odds of 2,9,3 with an exacta box of 2,3,9.


Race 8:

(Note: 8 is showing lone ‘L’ on EL graph)

BL: VDC 1 = 8,9; VDC 2 = 1; VDC 3 = 4,3

ML Odds: 9/2, 6/1, 6/1, 8/1, 3/1

Likely Play: Down to best Post odds of 8,9,1,4



Race 9:

BL: VDC 1 = 8, VDC 2 = 3,4; VDC 3 = 7; VDC 4 = 2

ML Odds: 5/2, 12/1, 7/2, 6/1, 3/1

Likely Play: Hide the 5/2 shot, bet the 3 and 7 to win

[Rverge]

Originally Posted by sq764

Race 4:

(Note: 2/5 shot in here… 5 and 7 show only early speed)

BL: VDC 1= 7,1; VDC 3 = 5; VDC 4 = 6

ML Odds: 2/5, 6/1, 7/2, 30/1

Likely Play: PASS.. Just don’t see any value in a Maiden with a 2/5 shot that looks like a monster compared to this field


Race 5:

(Note: 9 shows possible Lone Early Speed)

BL: VDC 1 = 4,7; VDC 3 = 1,5; VDC 4 = 8

ML Odds: 3/1, 15/1, 20/1, 10/1, 2/1

Likely Play: Since 9 is 5/2 ML and likely short price as lone speed, will hide the 3/1 and 2/1 and play the 1,5 to win and box 1,5,8 exacta


Race 6:

BL: VDC 1 = 9; VDC 2 = 2,6; VDC 3 = 5, VDC 4 = 1

ML Odds: 9/2, 3/1, 4/1, 7/2, 6/1

Likely Play: Will have to wait for post time to see who is value of the 9,6,1… Otherwise pass..

sq, r6 i have 9 @ 20-1 mnr 12-7-09. and in the 4th 7 @ 1-2(may be cutting hairs here) am i wrong?

[sq764]

Originally Posted by Rverge

sq, r6 i have 9 @ 20-1 mnr 12-7-09. and in the 4th 7 @ 1-2(may be cutting hairs here) am i wrong?

Race 6 I totally mistypes the VDC 1...

R6 VDC 1 actually should be the 4 horse at 9/2 ML



Race 4 I am showing the 7 at 2/5 ML on both the entry screen and BL screen..

[Rverge]

firstly, both drf and equibase have the 7 as 1-2. now its not a big deal at all but i wonder why the difference. plus i'll pass this race also as msw short priced routers win these races.
2, i'll play along w/ you tonite for the 1st few if you don't mind. do not think MNR will cancel as its cold here in the burg but not wet or snow. track should be fast or wet fast. (plus hockey nite in pittsburgh)
and "IWASROBBBED@BEUTODAY" played the 1, 25-1. came from the clouds on the rail to pass the fav 3 and don't ya know the 3 came back to win in a photo. looked like the 1 did win but i bet "they" altered the photo to let the fav win

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g6GuEswXOXo

[Rverge]

Originally Posted by sq764

I'll work on the screen shots later... Here is what I have for the first 3 at mountaineer tonight.. To say race 3 us potentially exciting is an understatement..


Race 1:

BL: VDC 1 = 1,6,9; VDC 2 = 10; VDC 3 = 4

ML Odds: 7/5, 10/1, 5/2, 6/1, 20/1

Likely Play = hide the 1 at 7/5, play the 6 at 10/1 ML and the 4 at 20/1ML



Race 2:

(Note: E/L Graph shows all speed, might look for top late pace which is #4 and #2)

BL: VDC 1 = 4; VDC 2 = 1,3; VDC 3 = 2

ML Odds: 3/1, 7/2, 6/1, 8/1

Likely Play: Definitely the 2 at 8/1 ML and will see where the 3 and 4 are at post time


Race 3:

BL: VDC 1 = 7; VDC 2 = 3,8; VDC 3 = 1,9

ML Odds: 20/1, 30/1, 10/1, 10/1, 3/1

Likely Play: Wow… Wow… 7 s 6.8 points BL score above the 2nd horse and he’s 20/1 ML… My play is the 7 and 3 to win and box 7,3,1,8 in exacta

i'm going w/ the 8-9. will also toss the 1. i hope the 9 doesn't drop to 9/5 as it happens @mnr

[Rverge]

Originally Posted by Rverge

i'm going w/ the 8-9. will also toss the 1. i hope the 9 doesn't drop to 9/5 as it happens @mnr

YES SIR! THE 1 a vulnerable FAV and the 9 takes the lead.

[Rverge]

Originally Posted by Rverge

YES SIR! THE 1 a vulnerable FAV and the 9 takes the lead.

sq you had the 9 hope you bet it. $9 +

[sq764]

Just got in... put in a win bet on the 1 and 2 in race 2... be back shortly