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03-19-2012, 01:52 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 302
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Grass Races
Could one of you PROS help me with GRASS RACES.
ON the BL/BL screen what are the best things to look at .TT, LP, TOT DCL Does anybody mind pointing me in the right way. thanks |
03-19-2012, 06:22 AM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Turf
Here is my blue print
It probably has flaws. but here is what I look for in Turf races On Turf I look for As usual use += plus pace lines Look at the horses total past performance and see how it runs in + races look at the TPR screen and look for good LPR ratings in those + race When I pick contenders that have a good + race and a competitve speed figure or CPR in a recent ( about) 90 days I enter those lines Now I look at the top VDC horses I look for the best *LPR *Total Energy * Hidden Energy *Total Speed *Total Pace Potential *Deceleration *Total + F3 - 3rd fraction *If the race is for older horses all of which have many turf lines look at APV and Class Doing this will get you very good contenders Bill V |
03-19-2012, 03:50 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 302
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THANK YOU BILL V!!
do you know if doc talked about grass races in the fu? |
08-24-2014, 05:24 PM | #4 |
AlwNW1X
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 20
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Question for bill on his post
Bill:
For + you mean a turf race right? I think you are leading the previous poster on a good route. The other thing to look at in turf racing is horses who can't get through. This is sort of a lesson from your trip handicappers. But after the race is done, sit back and watch the back of the pack of a turf race. You will see horses that tried to make a move, couldn't or were blocked. Matt D. |
08-28-2014, 11:33 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 120
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Turf
Stormbringer -
There are a bunch of grass race examples throughout the Follow Ups. I can dig out some and give you some references - too late tonight though (!). But check out the audio tapes (on the main screen - "Audio Collection") from the Las Vegas seminar in 1992. Marion Jones gives 2 or 3 different talks on those tapes, one of which he delves into turf racing. Sustained pace is usually king on the turf, but not always. Winners on the inner turf at Saratoga are frequently on the lead. I was up there the last week of July and got home a wire to wire horse on the inner turf at a whopping mile and a half.(Saffron Hall in the 3rd on July 25th.) Paid 12 bucks and change. I'll see if I can get some articles for you to check out over the weekend. Regards, Chuck |
08-29-2014, 03:12 PM | #6 |
AlwNW1X
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 20
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Sustained Pace
Is sustained pace displayed any where in the RDSS system?
I could not find it and I am new to RDSS. Matt |
08-29-2014, 03:12 PM | #7 |
AlwNW1X
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 20
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Follow ups
If you know where any of the turf seminars or information is on the follow ups can you please send me a link?
Matt D. |
09-02-2014, 10:04 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 120
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Turf
Storm & Matt:
I found 2 articles on turf handicapping in 2 of the older Follow Ups. There are more, I'm sure, but these 2 are good: Follow Up 27: Page 42 This is an article by Marion Jones. He's the same guy that discusses turf racing on the '92 Vegas tapes (see post above). These are old examples, but the only thing that has changed since then is your handicapping program. Those tapes from Vegas are really good and worth listening to. Howard talks in depth about the creation of the Method, as well as what it takes to be a consistent winner. Follow Up 11: Page 75 This is a "Problem Race" feature written by Doc Sartin himself. He knocks down a $75 horse in this race. Again its old, but it still applies. Get with Bill V. to get the equivalent readout in RDSS that is sustained pace. He has already listed the main factors he uses to analyze a turf race in a post above. Regards, Chuck |
09-10-2014, 02:19 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 318
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toward the late 90's The Hat commented that turf racing was changing because tracks all over the country were carding much cheaper turf races. The old #1 SP horse or best final fraction horse was not winning with the same frequency. And that is exactly my point. If you immediately assume that Sustained horses or final fraction horses are going to win the turf races then you do yourself a big disservice. Many price horses are Early, Early Presser or Presser in running style and get the lead today and wire the field.
Unlike dirt racing, speed has great pari mutual value on the turf. I have a race from yesterday that I will post as soon as I can remember how to do that. |
09-10-2014, 02:33 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 318
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Here's the chart and my primary handicapping screen. This is not a huge payer but it is so obvious that the #2 horse is so much better than anything in the field Early and the supposed class horses will all be chasing her and therefore out of position.[ATTACH][/ATTACH].
If you make assumptions that all turf races are going to run Sustained you miss many good prices on fairly obvious horses. Handicap the race, set how it sets up pacewise before you jump to conclusions. |
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