Saturday Night Delta Stakes Sprint - Projected "E"

[RichieP]

Here is the 6th tomorrow night from Delta Downs. A full field dash going 5f for 100 grand!

Lets project from the #4's last race at this track and distance, on the lead at both calls

Proj Pace = 21.4 - 45.2 - these are in fifths of a second

I punched in the proj pace and the lines you see on each of the runners highlighted match or exceed the pace. Running styles are my designations.

Showing tandems on the middle tab

The very best of luck/skill to all those once again testing the Cajun waters This time from a different track

[RichieP]

...

[RichieP]

..

[alydar_ David]

Looks like you picked a real humdinger, Richie. LOL!

[raceman5]

i like 3-2-4

Bob

[Bill Lyster]

tons of speed and the speed balls need to be in first or second place at first and 2nd call. Race goes OTE

The 5 has broken as late as 5th and can win from 3rd or 5th, but even when a couple of lengths off the lead. The 8 has won from 4th but only before leading at 2nd call.

My pick is the 5 and then the 8 and box the two for exacta purposes.

Bill

[Charlie D]

Just noticed Pete C Post about #1 and #12 scratch.


Makes #2's task a little easier.

[Dorianmode]

Initial take : 2-4-5-8
2 in dutch for sure.
Seems the pace will be very fast, (maybe sub 45). In that case the 5 and 8 can't do it ?
So 2-4 for now ... the public may bet the 2 down to oblivion -> may have to pass.
Need to see the tote board 2"-3" before the race, (and the exotic payouts) re : passing
Update right before the race .. may take a second look at some others.

[DaveEdwards]

Disappointed with myself for missing last weeks thread I’m definitely making the time this week. Race goes off at 2:06am here so not sure right now whether or not I’ll be staying up to watch it or not, but we’ll see how I feel later.

At the current time I know the 1, 11 & 12 are scratched which makes the task a little easier. I haven’t read any of the previous posts apart from Richie’s opener.

Looking through the runners I think 2, 4 & 10 will be trying for the lead at this pace. Interestingly the 2 has run 2C times faster on it’s previous 2nd & 3rd races based on the 1C pace.

The 6 burned at this pace 364 days ago. Cause to believe a 5yo horse would improve? Already out. The 8, not competitive at this pace recently out also.

Pacelines picked for each horse.

No 2, Race 2.
No 3, Race 2.
No 4, Race 1.
No 5, Race 1.
No 6, Race 8. 364 days ago, but it is this track & pace scenario.
No 7, Race 1.
No 8, Race 5. 420 days ago. Possible the horse may have matured, but the SR for recent races are relatively similar.
No 9, Race 1. Slower than today’s pace, but not sure he’d get good early position anyway considering the pace make up of the field.
No 10, Race 1.

Prior to matching my gut feeling here right now is that 2 is potentially the horse.

Starting the matching process then. Taking the 4 against the 2. All I’m seeing is the 2 taking the rail on a tight oval & gaining positional advantage over the 4 by the 2C. 4 out.

3. Won’t be getting close to 2 at any stage. Out.
4. Out.
5. Has the potential to close at this pace, but over 5F the 2 will have a distinct positional advantage. Out.
6. If the race was on turf perhaps. Not tonight. Out.
7. At the 1C pace this horse is competitive, but I feel the 2 is going to push the pace a little faster than the 7 is going to be able to deal with. Out.
8. Old line & competitive at this pace. 2 would still have the positional advantage I think. The most recent line looks a little worse also. Out.
9. Not much to say here. Out.
10. Will be behind the 2, but needs to lead. Out.

My call is still the 2 here & after all this I’m definitely staying up!

Will now read everyone else’s thoughts.

[Capcondo]

The 2 has some eye popping stretch call times and has the FPLR and has won from the 4th position in a field with a fair amount of speed. Shortening up from the 6F at FG two back, he is my choice.

I think the 7 as the only S type horse could make it interesting having run well against fast paces and having won from the 5 position at the first call in his last.

I'll try the 2-7 exacta.

Good luck.

Tim