Saturday 9/24- Woodbine's Ontario Derby - TM 102 Race Class - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 09-22-2011, 05:04 PM

Here is Saturday's 8th race from Woodbine, The Ontario Derby for 3 yr olds.

9f on the Polytrack. Best of luck and good matching

RichieP · 09-22-2011, 05:05 PM

...

Bill Lyster · 09-22-2011, 06:46 PM

Richie:

Is the 1 a known scratch or did you forget to load the PP's?

Bill

RichieP · 09-22-2011, 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster

Richie:

Is the 1 a known scratch or did you forget to load the PP's?

Bill

Hi Bill
I see the pps there but here they are again!

Hope you are doing great man

Bill Lyster · 09-23-2011, 11:32 PM

I think the 9 is the FPLR, though not at today's distance or structure. Otherwise, it would be the 7

#9: 7f at 122.7+2.8L = 123.2+6.4*4= 148.8

#7: 142.9 + 6.4 = 149.3

#9 appears to be getting better and is only horse that wants lead;; held well on dirt in restricted 500K race. I chose base from 3rd back 47.7-112.4 which should leave plenty in reserve to beat these. Can finish in 148.8

The 7 at his best ran from 4th, then 3rd and might be right behind the 9 at top of stretch. Best time of 142.9+6.4 = 149.3. Can make up ground from 111.3 six furlong time

the only other horse for me is the 3, coming off the pace from 6th to finish in 142, which adjusts to 148.4. Been finishing up the track on turf and only shows one race on poly. has not been gaining positions on turf as well as lone poly try. Hmmmm.

My picks are 9 and 7 to win, and adding the 3 for exacta and beyond.

Good luck,

Bill

raceman5 · 09-24-2011, 09:47 AM

7-5-1

Bob

Bill V. · 09-26-2011, 05:19 PM

Ok Thanks FTL Now I see it
Sorry for the confusion I still don't see myself making bets based on man made class ratings
Using the proper comparable line is the heart of success with the Sartin Methodology
excellent look back at this race I appreciate your efforts

GS
Bill

09-22-2011, 05:04 PM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Saturday 9/24- Woodbine's Ontario Derby - TM 102 Race Class Here is Saturday's 8th race from Woodbine, The Ontario Derby for 3 yr olds. 9f on the Polytrack. Best of luck and good matching Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

09-22-2011, 05:05 PM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	... Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

09-23-2011, 11:32 PM	#5
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	I think the 9 is the FPLR, though not at today's distance or structure. Otherwise, it would be the 7 #9: 7f at 122.7+2.8L = 123.2+6.44= 148.8 #7: 142.9 + 6.4 = 149.3 #9 appears to be getting better and is only horse that wants lead;; held well on dirt in restricted 500K race. I chose base from 3rd back 47.7-112.4 which should leave plenty in reserve to beat these. Can finish in 148.8 The 7 at his best ran from 4th, then 3rd and might be right behind the 9 at top of stretch. Best time of 142.9+6.4 = 149.3. Can make up ground from 111.3 six furlong time the only other horse for me is the 3, coming off the pace from 6th to finish in 142, which adjusts to 148.4. Been finishing up the track on turf and only shows one race on poly. has not been gaining positions on turf as well as lone poly try. Hmmmm. My picks are 9 and 7 to win, and adding the 3 for exacta and beyond. Good luck, Bill Last edited by Bill Lyster; 09-23-2011 at 11:33 PM. Reason: corrected picks*

09-24-2011, 09:47 AM	#6
raceman5 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Largo Fl. Posts: 2,363	woodbine 7-5-1 Bob

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09-22-2011, 06:46 PM	#3
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	Richie: Is the 1 a known scratch or did you forget to load the PP's? Bill

09-26-2011, 05:19 PM	#7
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Ok Thanks FTL Now I see it Sorry for the confusion I still don't see myself making bets based on man made class ratings Using the proper comparable line is the heart of success with the Sartin Methodology excellent look back at this race I appreciate your efforts GS Bill