Live -- 7/23 - Pace and Cap

tfm · 07-23-2011, 02:24 PM

CRC R3:

bad bunch -- most haven't routed

no value/high risk

#7, Mountain Chapel, is the best of the bunch

exacta: 7 / 2, 10

tfm · 07-23-2011, 02:28 PM

2 won it for fun @ 7:5 --- sitting a nice stalking trip

when horses that previously have gone 5.5F (twice) and 6.5F win 1st time 2 turn racing, beating horses that have previously routed, I ALWAYS lose.

tfm · 07-23-2011, 02:56 PM

It's Saturday, I typically play FOUR tracks during the day, and I'm expecting some good racing. What I get instead is:

1) a turf speed bias @ SAR -- carrying over from yesterday and expected for the meet
2) canceled card @ DEL
3) off the turf @ CRC
4) TWO 2 year old races in a row @ WO

way to go

tfm · 07-23-2011, 03:06 PM

WO R3:

2 year old maiden race

minimal bet

#8, Silver Silhouette -- in today after debuting in a stakes race -- Contreras stays up -- need I say more

#6, Youcan'tcatchme -- best of the rest of those having run previously -- chased, holding 2nd, around the track going 5F 1st out; stretches to 6F today --- not exactly an ideal angle.

exacta: 8 OVER 6

if one of the 1sters breaks this up, at least I only went in for a single play

tfm · 07-23-2011, 03:13 PM

CRASH

6 won it
8 menaced on the turn and collapsed

I have a theory: Josie Carroll is really Catherine Day-Phillips with BETTER stock.

tfm · 07-23-2011, 03:39 PM

WO R4:

figures to be quite a bit of speed in this race, and should set up for a closer/horse that can get 9F

#5, Happy Klapper: 2nd off the layoff and should be running late

win @ >= 5:1

tfm · 07-23-2011, 06:28 PM

Kara's Orientation stalked 2nd and won the 9th @ WO, on the turf, going 9F. But, at least, up there they're actually running fast fractions.

tfm · 07-23-2011, 06:52 PM

WO R10:

#7, Gold Book: not supposed to lose here.

Need 5:2 for a win bet

tfm · 07-23-2011, 07:01 PM

Figures that the horse that had never routed before would win this one. But I got lucky, as the 7 was 2:1 with 0 to post (going up to 5:2 during the running of the race.)

Not to worry, EVD is next. Racing makes sense there.

tfm · 07-23-2011, 07:29 PM

this site is slow and I got tired of waiting
so I posted SAR R11 on my Twitter page

the_mf_fat_man John Campo
SAR r11: #5, Binks Forest also like #9, Doublespeak, a bit

after getting skunked all day with the exactas, this was a ONE NUMBER 60:1 CRUSH!!!

Saratoga - Race 11
# Win Place Show
5 $9.10 $5.70 $4.20
9 . $12.60 $7.70
3 . . $12.60

Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 5-9 $60.25

of course, I don't use speed and pace figures, so it's not like I just hit a 4:1 winner of the CcAO, like the Bossman.

07-23-2011, 02:24 PM	#1
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Live -- 7/23 CRC R3: bad bunch -- most haven't routed no value/high risk #7, Mountain Chapel, is the best of the bunch exacta: 7 / 2, 10

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07-23-2011, 02:28 PM	#2
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	2 won it for fun @ 7:5 --- sitting a nice stalking trip when horses that previously have gone 5.5F (twice) and 6.5F win 1st time 2 turn racing, beating horses that have previously routed, I ALWAYS lose.

07-23-2011, 02:56 PM	#3
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	It's Saturday, I typically play FOUR tracks during the day, and I'm expecting some good racing. What I get instead is: 1) a turf speed bias @ SAR -- carrying over from yesterday and expected for the meet 2) canceled card @ DEL 3) off the turf @ CRC 4) TWO 2 year old races in a row @ WO way to go

07-23-2011, 03:06 PM	#4
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	WO R3: 2 year old maiden race minimal bet #8, Silver Silhouette -- in today after debuting in a stakes race -- Contreras stays up -- need I say more #6, Youcan'tcatchme -- best of the rest of those having run previously -- chased, holding 2nd, around the track going 5F 1st out; stretches to 6F today --- not exactly an ideal angle. exacta: 8 OVER 6 if one of the 1sters breaks this up, at least I only went in for a single play

07-23-2011, 03:13 PM	#5
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	CRASH 6 won it 8 menaced on the turn and collapsed I have a theory: Josie Carroll is really Catherine Day-Phillips with BETTER stock.

07-23-2011, 03:39 PM	#6
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	WO R4: figures to be quite a bit of speed in this race, and should set up for a closer/horse that can get 9F #5, Happy Klapper: 2nd off the layoff and should be running late win @ >= 5:1

07-23-2011, 06:28 PM	#7
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Kara's Orientation stalked 2nd and won the 9th @ WO, on the turf, going 9F. But, at least, up there they're actually running fast fractions.

07-23-2011, 06:52 PM	#8
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	WO R10: #7, Gold Book: not supposed to lose here. Need 5:2 for a win bet

07-23-2011, 07:01 PM	#9
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Figures that the horse that had never routed before would win this one. But I got lucky, as the 7 was 2:1 with 0 to post (going up to 5:2 during the running of the race.) Not to worry, EVD is next. Racing makes sense there.

07-23-2011, 07:29 PM	#10
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	this site is slow and I got tired of waiting so I posted SAR R11 on my Twitter page the_mf_fat_man John Campo SAR r11: #5, Binks Forest also like #9, Doublespeak, a bit after getting skunked all day with the exactas, this was a ONE NUMBER 60:1 CRUSH!!! Saratoga - Race 11 # Win Place Show 5 $9.10 $5.70 $4.20 9 . $12.60 $7.70 3 . . $12.60 Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid $1.00 Exacta 5-9 $60.25 of course, I don't use speed and pace figures, so it's not like I just hit a 4:1 winner of the CcAO, like the Bossman.