Apv Cr - Pace and Cap

admin · 03-30-2007, 06:27 PM

Another one from the email bag

Re APV CR

Bill,In your opinion do they really work?

I can tell you that I am 100% sold on them
here is an example
This is from Dumptruks excellent post for the 1st at AQU
My bets were the 1 entry and 5

Here are the APV and CR numbers

Code:

 1.       83.9%      2.06
1A     41.1%      1.03
2.      52.1%      1.47
3.      54.0%      2.12
4.      16.5%      1.53
5      88.6%       2.18
6.     53.5%       2.06
7.     33.0%       2.06

Ok don't get me wrong I didn't bet the 1 and the 5 because they had the highest numbers. The high numbers is what is giving me an idea of what the lower
rated horses are up against . Here is an example see horse # 1 # 2 and #4
These three are in trouble
The 7 is good in class but the 33% APV means its up against much better
than its been beating

Let me show you the field
I projected the pace at 22 46.5

here is horse 1

admin · 03-30-2007, 06:28 PM

Here is horse 1a

admin · 03-30-2007, 06:29 PM

Horse 2

admin · 03-30-2007, 06:30 PM

Horse 3

admin · 03-30-2007, 06:30 PM

Horse 4

admin · 03-30-2007, 06:31 PM

Horse 5

froggy · 04-01-2007, 11:15 AM

Bill,

Do you have a little computer that you use to do your class numbers or do you do them all by hand with a caculator?

The numbers work. I used to use them and that was about all I used to find the one or two that would be in the finish. Back then I had a pocket computer that had all that stuff in it but it died.

Froggy

tompkins · 04-01-2007, 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by froggy

Bill,

Do you have a little computer that you use to do your class numbers or do you do them all by hand with a caculator?

OLD programs had a calcuation program in them. Racinos have messed them up unless all the horses are running exclusive to a single course.

socantra · 04-01-2007, 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tompkins

Racinos have messed them up unless all the horses are running exclusive to a single course.

Now its Racinos that have messed them up. In the 80's and 90's people said the state bred programs messed them up. It seems like there is always a reason the Class/APV figures won't work, but they keep working anyway.

Of course there are flaws, but they were never intended to be a stand alone selection mechanism. They remain a viable corrallary and better horses continue to follow better purses regardless of the reason for the purse increases.

Dick...

shoeless · 04-01-2007, 12:51 PM

Hi Dick,Nice to hear from you and hope you and your family are ok.I always appreciate all the help you have given me .Jeff

03-30-2007, 06:27 PM	#1
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Apv Cr Another one from the email bag Re APV CR Bill,In your opinion do they really work? I can tell you that I am 100% sold on them here is an example This is from Dumptruks excellent post for the 1st at AQU My bets were the 1 entry and 5 Here are the APV and CR numbers Code: 1. 83.9% 2.06 1A 41.1% 1.03 2. 52.1% 1.47 3. 54.0% 2.12 4. 16.5% 1.53 5 88.6% 2.18 6. 53.5% 2.06 7. 33.0% 2.06 Ok don't get me wrong I didn't bet the 1 and the 5 because they had the highest numbers. The high numbers is what is giving me an idea of what the lower rated horses are up against . Here is an example see horse # 1 # 2 and #4 These three are in trouble The 7 is good in class but the 33% APV means its up against much better than its been beating Let me show you the field I projected the pace at 22 46.5 here is horse 1 Attached Images

03-30-2007, 06:28 PM	#2
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Apv Cr Here is horse 1a Attached Images

03-30-2007, 06:29 PM	#3
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Apv Cr Horse 2 Attached Images

03-30-2007, 06:30 PM	#5
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Apv Cr Horse 4 Attached Images

03-30-2007, 06:31 PM	#6
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	APV Cr Horse 5 Attached Images

03-30-2007, 06:30 PM	#4
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Apv Cr Horse 3 Attached Images

04-01-2007, 11:15 AM	#7
froggy Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Bullhead City Az Posts: 921	Bill, Do you have a little computer that you use to do your class numbers or do you do them all by hand with a caculator? The numbers work. I used to use them and that was about all I used to find the one or two that would be in the finish. Back then I had a pocket computer that had all that stuff in it but it died. Froggy

04-01-2007, 12:51 PM	#10
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,644	Hi Dick,Nice to hear from you and hope you and your family are ok.I always appreciate all the help you have given me .Jeff