BAD races - Pace and Cap

tompkins · 02-12-2007, 01:12 PM

One of the skills it takes A LONG TIME to acquire, is knowing when to watch a race and just leave it alone. Don't say that I am anywhere close to perfect in that regard but am making strides. The 2nd race at Philly is a good example of one: JUST ABOUT ALL the theoretical "contenders" were ranked on lines that were sample errors: NO OTHER LINES substantiated what one found in the initial one. Second, many of those same contenders had regressed as the lines that MADE them contenders were the 2nd and third lines back. Without troubled trips, these horses faced the same or slower fractions and did not contend. It wasn't Denmark but something smelled rotten.

Question is then, how many of these can one overlook, and which of the others can step up. It is simply too confusing to waste time with as there are many other logical ones on the card.

02-12-2007, 01:12 PM	#1
tompkins Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 708	BAD races One of the skills it takes A LONG TIME to acquire, is knowing when to watch a race and just leave it alone. Don't say that I am anywhere close to perfect in that regard but am making strides. The 2nd race at Philly is a good example of one: JUST ABOUT ALL the theoretical "contenders" were ranked on lines that were sample errors: NO OTHER LINES substantiated what one found in the initial one. Second, many of those same contenders had regressed as the lines that MADE them contenders were the 2nd and third lines back. Without troubled trips, these horses faced the same or slower fractions and did not contend. It wasn't Denmark but something smelled rotten. Question is then, how many of these can one overlook, and which of the others can step up. It is simply too confusing to waste time with as there are many other logical ones on the card. __________________ velocititian