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| Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,375
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Parx R6 Screen Shots
This one was a little more difficult. The results were 6[$8.00]3-7-1[A
Here are the screen shots.
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Trust but verify |
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,375
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As we see the winner tiers 5th on bl/bl and 4th on RX. Time to see if analysis can help move it up. Well the 5 has a recency defect and hasn't won in its' last 10, the 4 has no defects. the 3 has multi defects, and the 7 is up in class and too high a %med to win and is 0-15 at Parx. Our winner comes off a mdn win with no defects. For the record all the contenders except the 3 had high % meds So based on analysis I downgraded 3 &7 and that moves the 6 to 3rd. On the rx screen I have already downgraded the 7 so once again the 6 moves to 3 and I'm very comfortable using it on my ticket.
Tim
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Trust but verify Last edited by Lt1; 12-20-2022 at 05:56 PM. |
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Vermont
Posts: 166
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Tim, I see on your double ticket you used the 1,2,3 and 6. How did you make that decision ?
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,375
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Ok the 1 was a Richie Mathie LSP, the 2 had the apprentice angle, the 3 because it had ISR
despite defects, and the 6 as stated above but most importantly the probable payoffs. Sometimes I just take shots and leave off low paying combos. Tim
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#5 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Vermont
Posts: 166
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Thanks Tim for both explanations. As I said in a previous post, your new posting are very educational.
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,375
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No problem. Keep those questions coming. Helps keep me on my toes.
Tim
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#7 |
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AlwNW1X
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 17
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I'm with 57viking. you posts with explanations are very educational keep them going.
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,375
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Glad you find them useful btas. The plan is to this continue this format as long as interest exists.
Tim
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