Santa Anita 3-29 - Pace and Cap

patecatl · 03-28-2013, 05:56 PM

Would love to hear everyones thoughts on Race 3 tomorrow. Im not the least bit good at Turf races, especially with the dirt section at Santa Anita. Ive seen some horses get spooked if its there first time there. Anyways I have the PPs, thanks in advance

sudu1234 · 03-28-2013, 08:40 PM

my thoughts are a shot . the 2 and 7

dlivery · 03-28-2013, 09:05 PM

Thanks for the pp's :-)
Will take a look and see

Lord John · 03-28-2013, 11:40 PM

Pate, here are my thoughts:
8-E horse--blasts to the lead--is the one to catch
3-E has proven he can only win wire to wire but not fast enough-out
1-very suspect/ record shows a lot of layoffs, for me--out
2-has won at this distance twice BUT has to be within 2 lengths and at least 3rd to win--most likely won't get that today though last race shows she's in form--contender for now
4-very fast horse for final time BUT the +'s and 0's show that she hasn't been able to close the deal very often. She definitely has run against faster splits but the layoff concerns me and this field isn't weak. Because of Final time for me Contender for now
5-At 4-1 ML I'm licking my chops!!! Just missed last out and more importantly she was leading at the 8.0 furlong point. Has won at higher and can overcome a 23.0 first call. She has proven that she can run a sub 23 final quarter. My first OTE pick.
6-the unknown stretch-out ran evenly last out. Maybe
7-good horse. comes out of the same race as the 5 and 2. Honestly I believe the 5 is a faster horse at this distance.
Pate-The 8 is a very fast horse and his last line proves he can fight. Of the contenders-2, 4, 5, 6 and 7...I believe the 5 has the best shot at running down the 8. I would pick the 2 but I think the 2 needs more distance. Nonetheless the 2 will be flying late. So going with two horses I'm thinking a wire to wire job with 8 and the 5 as my OTE pick.
Let's see what others think. Good Luck!!!

Bill Lyster · 03-29-2013, 12:44 PM

8 is the one to catch and is too fast for the 3; the 5 and 7 are too slow for this pace and the 6 runs from 4th or 5th or a little better but just where it needs to today with 2 E and 1 EP, plus its only group/grade 3 winner in field.

If not challenged 8 wins, but I think 6 gets her at wire in chalkfest.

Bill

patecatl · 03-29-2013, 02:07 PM

I agree I think the 8 is the one to catch. I like 8 and 5

03-28-2013, 08:40 PM	#2
sudu1234 Maiden Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 2	3rd @SA 3/29/13 my thoughts are a shot . the 2 and 7

03-28-2013, 09:05 PM	#3
dlivery Grade 1 Join Date: May 2009 Location: Thornhill ON Posts: 438	Thanks for the pp's :-) Will take a look and see __________________ May all wagers be Winners...

03-28-2013, 11:40 PM	#4
Lord John AlwNW1X Join Date: Jun 2011 Location: Inland Empire. Lived here since '74. Never knew about Pirco. Shame! Posts: 17	Sa 3 Pate, here are my thoughts: 8-E horse--blasts to the lead--is the one to catch 3-E has proven he can only win wire to wire but not fast enough-out 1-very suspect/ record shows a lot of layoffs, for me--out 2-has won at this distance twice BUT has to be within 2 lengths and at least 3rd to win--most likely won't get that today though last race shows she's in form--contender for now 4-very fast horse for final time BUT the +'s and 0's show that she hasn't been able to close the deal very often. She definitely has run against faster splits but the layoff concerns me and this field isn't weak. Because of Final time for me Contender for now 5-At 4-1 ML I'm licking my chops!!! Just missed last out and more importantly she was leading at the 8.0 furlong point. Has won at higher and can overcome a 23.0 first call. She has proven that she can run a sub 23 final quarter. My first OTE pick. 6-the unknown stretch-out ran evenly last out. Maybe 7-good horse. comes out of the same race as the 5 and 2. Honestly I believe the 5 is a faster horse at this distance. Pate-The 8 is a very fast horse and his last line proves he can fight. Of the contenders-2, 4, 5, 6 and 7...I believe the 5 has the best shot at running down the 8. I would pick the 2 but I think the 2 needs more distance. Nonetheless the 2 will be flying late. So going with two horses I'm thinking a wire to wire job with 8 and the 5 as my OTE pick. Let's see what others think. Good Luck!!!

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03-29-2013, 12:44 PM	#5
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	8 is the one to catch and is too fast for the 3; the 5 and 7 are too slow for this pace and the 6 runs from 4th or 5th or a little better but just where it needs to today with 2 E and 1 EP, plus its only group/grade 3 winner in field. If not challenged 8 wins, but I think 6 gets her at wire in chalkfest. Bill

03-29-2013, 02:07 PM	#6
patecatl AlwNW2X Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 29	I agree I think the 8 is the one to catch. I like 8 and 5