Pace How will it effect the fav.

[Bill V.]

Race 1 from Belmont

I can brag cause I bet the 4 and 5

Why did they make this horse the 6/5 fav

Thank you horse 6 for setting a fast pace
is it possible that a 0/30 trainer and a 0/32 jockey
got burned by going to fast early because they were suppose to win ?

the 4 wins at 5/1

[raceman5]

How come u did not show the PP's from the rest of the horses and there pacelines u chose?

[tfm]

I'm confused about why he's using the future tense in the title for an event that had already occurred. (In other words, redboarding with an intent to mislead.)

[Bill V.]

Just wanted to share some success
Ted can delete the thread if he feels like it.
I just wanted to show a positive

[Bill V.]

ppp

[Bill V.]

both parts of the entry 1 are scr.

[gl45]

Bill, you got to show me something better, about hide the fav, bet $2 to win on each horse and win $3.40 without handicapping and software.
Gee

[Bill V.]

Originally Posted by gl45

Bill, you got to show me something better, about hide the fav, bet $2 to win on each horse and win $3.40 without handicapping and software.
Gee

Or just hide the fav
bet the two of your top 4/5 picks to win and win more than $3.40
Gee I think thats what Doc said to do -see seg screen post 1

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Or just hide the fav
bet the two of your top 4/5 picks to win and win more than $3.40
Gee I think thats what Doc said to do -see seg screen post 1

I've posted this before, but I'll post it again.

As everybody knows, favorites win 33% of all races year in and year out. Add to that the fact that almost 60% of all winners pay 5/2 or less.

This means those playing two horses and throwing out the favorites and/or low odds horses are going to lose 12 bets out of 20, ASSUMING they are good enough to win the other 4 races, which, of course, they won't. There are always those races where you chose wrong from among your contenders or a horse wins that is not among your contenders.

Seems to me that one needs to be considerably more selective in the low odds horses they BET AGAINST!
Seems to me you need to have a very good idea that the low odds horse(s) CAN BET BEAT! Not because you want to beat them, but because they CAN BE BEAT!

"BLINDLY" throwing out low odds horses seems like a recipe for disaster.

[gl45]

Bill,
pay attention, in a 6 horses field, the fav will bite your ass more often than not. That's why I don't play very short fields. If you don't have a winners model you will never know who's winning at what track, distance, surface,how many starters, etc....etc...