Aqu R1 3/30 - Pace and Cap

Dumptruk · 03-30-2007, 01:35 AM

My first posted pick using Energy/Thoromation

#5 Scuttlebutt Looks strong

His uXr is strong among the contenders here:

Dumptruk · 03-30-2007, 01:36 AM

the muv screen

Dumptruk · 03-30-2007, 01:37 AM

and Thoromation likes him too:

tompkins · 03-30-2007, 03:09 AM

A one run closer on the speed favoring inner?
A switch to Dominguez and the Damon Runyon angle agrees it has a shot: all close to the same TS only closer in the group.

tompkins · 03-30-2007, 03:21 AM

Knowing Aqueduct, if Ramon Dominguez was NOT in the irons, this would cause me to take pause. TOO FAR BACK for a sprint at MOST courses, but particulary this one. He might need some help up front to get there in time.

admin · 03-30-2007, 05:15 AM

Good Skill Dumptruk
You did great with your screen shots
Perfect... I will root you on !!!

I like the entry and the 5

Hello Tompkins

I have a question.You often talk of using many lines for a horse,
Because picking only one might not show the true ability.
(my interpitation of your post)
Something about sample error

Your calling the 5 a one run closer. but its only as I can see
on Val2006 because of line 4. A 5.5 furlong race from LRL.
It ran for its own style a too fast first fraction
and a horrible second fraction. It recovered
but this pace line Line 4 seems way out of this horses ability

Here are all its lines

admin · 03-30-2007, 05:26 AM

You are showing and calling the 5 horse a one run closer
and your screen hot would lead me to think line 4 says it is
The line that gets horse 5 the # 1 readout in decleration is line 4
as you haveshown the TS readout is very tight
But here is the energy screen Line 4 seems very odd

admin · 03-30-2007, 05:47 AM

here are the engen and Late early graph
notice the differance in line 4 ?

It should be interesting race
Thanks for your input good skill
I appreciate you posting your thoughts

Bill

MIKE · 03-30-2007, 08:01 AM

Tompkins

--great to see you give your opinions before the race..

Dumptruk · 03-30-2007, 08:55 AM

Hey Tompkins

I disagree with your one run closer assessment of Scuttlebutt. In Speculator, which uses %Med and Energy to measure run style, it has him as an early horse in 5 of his 8 pacelines.

03-30-2007, 01:35 AM	#1
Dumptruk Grade 2 Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Northern California Posts: 75	Aqu R1 3/30 My first posted pick using Energy/Thoromation #5 Scuttlebutt Looks strong His uXr is strong among the contenders here: Attached Images

03-30-2007, 01:36 AM	#2
Dumptruk Grade 2 Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Northern California Posts: 75	the muv screen Attached Images

03-30-2007, 01:37 AM	#3
Dumptruk Grade 2 Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Northern California Posts: 75	and Thoromation likes him too: Attached Images

03-30-2007, 03:09 AM	#4
tompkins Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 708	A one run closer on the speed favoring inner? A switch to Dominguez and the Damon Runyon angle agrees it has a shot: all close to the same TS only closer in the group. Attached Images __________________ velocititian

03-30-2007, 05:15 AM	#6
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	aqu race 1 Good Skill Dumptruk You did great with your screen shots Perfect... I will root you on !!! I like the entry and the 5 Hello Tompkins I have a question.You often talk of using many lines for a horse, Because picking only one might not show the true ability. (my interpitation of your post) Something about sample error Your calling the 5 a one run closer. but its only as I can see on Val2006 because of line 4. A 5.5 furlong race from LRL. It ran for its own style a too fast first fraction and a horrible second fraction. It recovered but this pace line Line 4 seems way out of this horses ability Here are all its lines Attached Images Last edited by admin; 03-30-2007 at 06:10 AM.

03-30-2007, 03:21 AM	#5
tompkins Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 708	Knowing Aqueduct, if Ramon Dominguez was NOT in the irons, this would cause me to take pause. TOO FAR BACK for a sprint at MOST courses, but particulary this one. He might need some help up front to get there in time. Attached Images __________________ velocititian

03-30-2007, 05:26 AM	#7
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	here is the energy screen You are showing and calling the 5 horse a one run closer and your screen hot would lead me to think line 4 says it is The line that gets horse 5 the # 1 readout in decleration is line 4 as you haveshown the TS readout is very tight But here is the energy screen Line 4 seems very odd Attached Images Last edited by admin; 03-30-2007 at 05:58 AM.

03-30-2007, 05:47 AM	#8
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	screens here are the engen and Late early graph notice the differance in line 4 ? It should be interesting race Thanks for your input good skill I appreciate you posting your thoughts Bill Attached Images Last edited by admin; 03-30-2007 at 05:56 AM.

03-30-2007, 08:01 AM	#9
MIKE Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Rochester NY Posts: 196	Tompkins --great to see you give your opinions before the race..

03-30-2007, 08:55 AM	#10
Dumptruk Grade 2 Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Northern California Posts: 75	Hey Tompkins I disagree with your one run closer assessment of Scuttlebutt. In Speculator, which uses %Med and Energy to measure run style, it has him as an early horse in 5 of his 8 pacelines. Attached Images