Todays races 9-17 by Omar. - Pace and Cap

omar · 09-17-2022, 10:58 AM

I handicap primarily "grass races". I keep track profiles and handicap models for the tracks I play and distances that I handicap. I posted on Pace Advantage on 9-11 where I explained the method or process that I use in picking my pace line for each horse in the race. I only use 1 line on each horse. I rate all the horses (95%) of the time except for the obvious ones: FTS, Foreign horses and the occasional horse that I feel just doesn't belong in the race. I do this for two reasons, 1. evry horse in the race will affect the pace and 2. I want to see horses that may not conform to my model but I feel may have a chance of hitting the board at really good prices.

You can read my post on this entitled " my response to energy distribution" by Dave Schwartz.

It seems every time I go on a forum and try and help some people, I read their posts and believe me they need a lot of help, they're not even sure what handicapping factor or program to use and it seems the majority of the feedback I get is sarcasm and disbelief. So, in my own way of needling them without getting into a back and forth, I DECIDED TO POST AN ENTIRE CARD OF RACES - BEFORE THE RACE WENT OFF! All grass races from Kentucky Downs except for 2 races with a lot of FTS and the 9th and 10th races because my knee was starting to lock up, so I rested for 15 minutes and then had dinner and got back in time for last 2 races. I was a minute late posting race 1 because every time I clicked on an attachment it kept opening a new tab in my browser and it wasn't showing up in my post until after I hit submit. But I figured that out pretty fast.

To see the races with my comments see the post "KD SCREEN SHOT". I also posted 2 races I did at MTH on 9-10. See "two more example races by Omar". For the KD results go to Equibase full or quick charts.

I will try and post the races I do today from MTH, PIM and WO under Selections "Today's races by Omar" on paceandcap about 5 minutes before post time with my comments on the race.

Hope this helps you.

Omar

Lt1 · 09-17-2022, 11:36 AM

Good luck today Omar. Appreciate your input.
Tim

Ted Craven · 09-17-2022, 01:37 PM

Looking forward to your Selections, Omar!

Ted

omar · 09-17-2022, 03:24 PM

Thanks guys 10 won mth r5 $14.20, no ex. Thats one

darmar · 09-18-2022, 01:50 AM

Omar Great Skill always rises to the top and you can only help the ones who really want it.
Thanks for posting your picks
Darryl

Ted Craven · 09-18-2022, 04:44 AM

Omar, please summarize your results yesterday in your Selections Forum thread. Thanks!

Ted

09-17-2022, 10:58 AM	#1
omar Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 378	Todays races 9-17 by Omar. I handicap primarily "grass races". I keep track profiles and handicap models for the tracks I play and distances that I handicap. I posted on Pace Advantage on 9-11 where I explained the method or process that I use in picking my pace line for each horse in the race. I only use 1 line on each horse. I rate all the horses (95%) of the time except for the obvious ones: FTS, Foreign horses and the occasional horse that I feel just doesn't belong in the race. I do this for two reasons, 1. evry horse in the race will affect the pace and 2. I want to see horses that may not conform to my model but I feel may have a chance of hitting the board at really good prices. You can read my post on this entitled " my response to energy distribution" by Dave Schwartz. It seems every time I go on a forum and try and help some people, I read their posts and believe me they need a lot of help, they're not even sure what handicapping factor or program to use and it seems the majority of the feedback I get is sarcasm and disbelief. So, in my own way of needling them without getting into a back and forth, I DECIDED TO POST AN ENTIRE CARD OF RACES - BEFORE THE RACE WENT OFF! All grass races from Kentucky Downs except for 2 races with a lot of FTS and the 9th and 10th races because my knee was starting to lock up, so I rested for 15 minutes and then had dinner and got back in time for last 2 races. I was a minute late posting race 1 because every time I clicked on an attachment it kept opening a new tab in my browser and it wasn't showing up in my post until after I hit submit. But I figured that out pretty fast. To see the races with my comments see the post "KD SCREEN SHOT". I also posted 2 races I did at MTH on 9-10. See "two more example races by Omar". For the KD results go to Equibase full or quick charts. I will try and post the races I do today from MTH, PIM and WO under Selections "Today's races by Omar" on paceandcap about 5 minutes before post time with my comments on the race. Hope this helps you. Omar Last edited by Ted Craven; 09-17-2022 at 01:37 PM. Reason: Paragraph breaks.

09-17-2022, 11:36 AM	#2
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,491	Good luck today Omar. Appreciate your input. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

09-17-2022, 01:37 PM	#3
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,255	Looking forward to your Selections, Omar! Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

09-18-2022, 04:44 AM	#6
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,255	Omar, please summarize your results yesterday in your Selections Forum thread. Thanks! Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

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09-17-2022, 03:24 PM	#4
omar Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 378	Thanks guys 10 won mth r5 $14.20, no ex. Thats one

09-18-2022, 01:50 AM	#5
darmar Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2013 Location: Maple Ridge, B.C. Canada Posts: 3,637	Omar Great Skill always rises to the top and you can only help the ones who really want it. Thanks for posting your picks Darryl