Predict...the future - Pace and Cap

polambi · 10-05-2013, 12:52 AM

Don't be shy

Here are the 3 main contenders of the race: #1, #2, #10. With the screenshots provided, can you tell who the actual winner is going to be???

Bill V. · 10-05-2013, 06:02 AM

I am not able to work with just the PP's you show

So I used my own. I hate to post this with out scratches or track conditions
but I will be busy today and tonight so I have to post this early.

In truth this race would be a pass for me. I have issues with a few horses and
I would have trouble with horse 10 winning 3 races in a row, and the #1
is 1.6 on the ML. I would say 1 and 2 but I will not bet the race

H1 Early Line 1
H2 Press Line 1
H3 No line 30/1
H4 Press No Line Line 3 is not fast enough in EP or LP
H5 E in routes and stuck at N3Life Don't know ? Issue here
H6 Sus might improve off last line and finish 2nd again has 23 2nd place finished
H7 Sus Rate off the N2 Life win 163.5 20/1
H8 Press No excuse to go to line 3 No Line Issue 3
H9 Early. forgive line 1,first try against N3 -L end of form cycle. I will use Line 2
H10 E-EP going for 3 wins in a row ? I don"t want to hvae to use the MS win because this is a N3 life race but line 1 is non comparable
7.0 on the turf why the drop from
CL 15 to CL5.. Issues here too

Name: TPR MNR4.PNG
Views: 322
Size: 37.3 KB

Name: TPR MNR4.PNG
Views: 322
Size: 37.3 KB

Name: segs MNR4.PNG
Views: 310
Size: 41.5 KB

polambi · 10-05-2013, 09:06 AM

Hi Bill. Thanks for the effort. You made a good point about horse #10 ability to win 3 in a row. After reading your post, I went to investigate further, and found out that in both or her previous wins, she broke from the #1 post. I guess it will be harder this time on the #10 post.
My initial thoughts were that the #1 horse has two main advantages in this matchup: It is an Early horse braking from the #1 post and it has a better first fraction. I could add also that the #1 horse did not have to work hard for her last victory...and that is also a plus.
Thanks again. Have a nice weekend

Paul

Bill V. · 10-06-2013, 01:05 AM

Hey Paul

Looks like the 1 could have been bet. The 1 goes wire to wire.
The 10 chased the 1 but did not last. The 2 finished third

Thanks for asking about this race

Bill

Name: result 4 win1.PNG
Views: 280
Size: 171.6 KB

Name: result 4 win1.PNG
Views: 280
Size: 171.6 KB

polambi · 10-06-2013, 01:17 AM

Just for the records...the #1 horse did in fact win. Bill V was absolutely right about the #10 horse. She made a bold move from the start, by crossing over from the #10 post all the way to the left, where she met up with the #1 horse for a short one on one face off. I guess that move cost her a lot, because she faded badly after that.

polambi · 10-06-2013, 01:24 AM

Hi Bill, It looks like I was writing at the same time as you were posting

The #1 was not a long shot, but I was able to triple my money by betting on her to win. Good skills Bill.

Appy · 10-06-2013, 10:30 AM

Looks to me like what FTL has been showing us works pretty well.

10-06-2013, 01:05 AM	#4
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	win Hey Paul Looks like the 1 could have been bet. The 1 goes wire to wire. The 10 chased the 1 but did not last. The 2 finished third Thanks for asking about this race Bill

10-06-2013, 01:17 AM	#5
polambi Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2011 Location: New-York, NY Posts: 138	Just for the records...the #1 horse did in fact win. Bill V was absolutely right about the #10 horse. She made a bold move from the start, by crossing over from the #10 post all the way to the left, where she met up with the #1 horse for a short one on one face off. I guess that move cost her a lot, because she faded badly after that. Attached Images

10-06-2013, 10:30 AM	#7
Appy Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2013 Location: Flint Hills in Kansas, formerly from Montana Posts: 334	Looks to me like what FTL has been showing us works pretty well. __________________ Serious fun. www.cappersoverlay.com

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
Ontario Racing Update	Ted Craven	General Discussion	5	01-24-2013 10:16 PM
Problem opening future card	wagercapper	RDSS2 / FAQ's	1	08-04-2012 03:46 PM
The Future(?) of Horse Racing?	For The Lead	Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum	14	10-31-2011 05:32 AM
Will TPR Predict The Winner Of This Race?	partsnut	Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum	72	04-14-2009 08:23 PM
Possible future agenda	VoodooFan	Matchup Discussion	0	10-28-2008 02:22 PM

10-05-2013, 12:52 AM	#1
polambi Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2011 Location: New-York, NY Posts: 138	Predict...the future Don't be shy Here are the 3 main contenders of the race: #1, #2, #10. With the screenshots provided, can you tell who the actual winner is going to be??? Attached Images

10-05-2013, 06:02 AM	#2
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Race 4 I am not able to work with just the PP's you show So I used my own. I hate to post this with out scratches or track conditions but I will be busy today and tonight so I have to post this early. In truth this race would be a pass for me. I have issues with a few horses and I would have trouble with horse 10 winning 3 races in a row, and the #1 is 1.6 on the ML. I would say 1 and 2 but I will not bet the race H1 Early Line 1 H2 Press Line 1 H3 No line 30/1 H4 Press No Line Line 3 is not fast enough in EP or LP H5 E in routes and stuck at N3Life Don't know ? Issue here H6 Sus might improve off last line and finish 2nd again has 23 2nd place finished H7 Sus Rate off the N2 Life win 163.5 20/1 H8 Press No excuse to go to line 3 No Line Issue 3 H9 Early. forgive line 1,first try against N3 -L end of form cycle. I will use Line 2 H10 E-EP going for 3 wins in a row ? I don"t want to hvae to use the MS win because this is a N3 life race but line 1 is non comparable 7.0 on the turf why the drop from CL 15 to CL5.. Issues here too

10-05-2013, 09:06 AM	#3
polambi Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2011 Location: New-York, NY Posts: 138	Hi Bill. Thanks for the effort. You made a good point about horse #10 ability to win 3 in a row. After reading your post, I went to investigate further, and found out that in both or her previous wins, she broke from the #1 post. I guess it will be harder this time on the #10 post. My initial thoughts were that the #1 horse has two main advantages in this matchup: It is an Early horse braking from the #1 post and it has a better first fraction. I could add also that the #1 horse did not have to work hard for her last victory...and that is also a plus. Thanks again. Have a nice weekend Paul

10-06-2013, 01:24 AM	#6
polambi Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2011 Location: New-York, NY Posts: 138	Hi Bill, It looks like I was writing at the same time as you were posting The #1 was not a long shot, but I was able to triple my money by betting on her to win. Good skills Bill.