PrM 8th: Match-Up Help - Pace and Cap

PeteC · 07-03-2009, 04:56 PM

This looked like an interesting race and one with a component that I find challenging.

#6 Looks like a dominant early fighter to me but there are fast pressers that like to lay pretty close to the pace. The part I often struggle with is determining if those fast pressers will put too much pressure on the early horse. In this race, those pressers are #3 and #4. I am sticking with #6 since he beat both of them in previous tandems, butI would love any feedback and other takes on this race...

Thanks...

Rverge · 07-03-2009, 05:43 PM

# 5 SLUG BUG. i had a fishing buddy a few years ago who's last name began w/"slug". alas, his nickname was "slug". bless his heart, died of a brain tumor at 40ish

ML

Capcondo · 07-03-2009, 07:03 PM

Pete,

I like your choice of the 6. He looks like the lone early. The Hat had a spot play in his second book where an early horse is shortening up in distance as this horse is from 6 to 5.5 F. This horse has done that twice and won. One time way back in the PPs it didn't work.

The 3 looks like he can't handle the pace. The 4 and 7 might be trouble if the 6 doesn't put distance between himself and the field.

I'll be pulling for you.

Tim

mikesal57 · 07-03-2009, 08:02 PM

Hi Pete...the only 2 horses that can handle a 45 pace are the 4 & 5...if the #1 can some how shoot out from the post and pressure the 6 , we might get a price..will be watching the race...

I love when someone puts up a challenge like this

mike

mikesal57 · 07-03-2009, 08:06 PM

will go with the 4...closer to pace of race...make sure u put the fav over mine cause my nickname is ..Sec (second)

later mike

PeteC · 07-03-2009, 10:18 PM

The race ends up running OTE with the #2 pressuring the #6 early. The #3 comes home to take it at a pretty nice price. #6 got hammered late at the windows anyway so i guess it's no great loss.

Thanks for the comments guys...on to the next one.

mikesal57 · 07-03-2009, 10:23 PM

pete...i laughed and said bye bye to my bet as the track was sloppy and twinspires didnt report the #1 scratched..my fault

mike

07-03-2009, 08:06 PM	#5
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	will go with the 4...closer to pace of race...make sure u put the fav over mine cause my nickname is ..Sec (second) later mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

07-03-2009, 10:23 PM	#7
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	pete...i laughed and said bye bye to my bet as the track was sloppy and twinspires didnt report the #1 scratched..my fault mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

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07-03-2009, 05:43 PM	#2
Rverge Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA. Posts: 2,531	# 5 SLUG BUG. i had a fishing buddy a few years ago who's last name began w/"slug". alas, his nickname was "slug". bless his heart, died of a brain tumor at 40ish ML __________________ i love every single minute of life, and, if one is lucky,then you must give it to others.

07-03-2009, 07:03 PM	#3
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Pm 5 1/2 f Pete, I like your choice of the 6. He looks like the lone early. The Hat had a spot play in his second book where an early horse is shortening up in distance as this horse is from 6 to 5.5 F. This horse has done that twice and won. One time way back in the PPs it didn't work. The 3 looks like he can't handle the pace. The 4 and 7 might be trouble if the 6 doesn't put distance between himself and the field. I'll be pulling for you. Tim

07-03-2009, 08:02 PM	#4
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Hi Pete...the only 2 horses that can handle a 45 pace are the 4 & 5...if the #1 can some how shoot out from the post and pressure the 6 , we might get a price..will be watching the race... I love when someone puts up a challenge like this mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

07-03-2009, 10:18 PM	#6
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	The race ends up running OTE with the #2 pressuring the #6 early. The #3 comes home to take it at a pretty nice price. #6 got hammered late at the windows anyway so i guess it's no great loss. Thanks for the comments guys...on to the next one.