Saratoga Race 7 - Pace and Cap

mikesal57 · 08-01-2008, 02:03 PM

Hi Guys...

For you match-up cappers...take alook at this race..

I see mostly all these horses needing to be close to the lead to win...

except the #9...he can win from 4th or 5th position,,dont know if he will be further behind in this race, but he does have some speed too to get positioning

let me know what u think

mike

Tim Y · 08-01-2008, 03:04 PM

4 has a strong advantage it would appear.

08-01-2008, 03:05 PM

I ran your race through Thoromation and let it do the matching up. The lines used are seen next to horses name. All very current.

Thoromation has them 8-4-9 with the Exdc preplay matching the read. Sp preplay has them 9-8.

4 and 8 will be bet. I'd look for about 5/1 or 6/1 on the 9 to bet otherwise a pass.

Think the odds line in the last screenshot is off a bit???

Bill V. · 08-01-2008, 03:15 PM

Looks like 4 and 8 for me

Tim Y · 08-01-2008, 03:46 PM

Let's see how 1-8 do in the turfer before this

mikesal57 · 08-01-2008, 04:05 PM

Great Guys....thxs for the replies...

I'll bet #9 to win

and a 4-8-9 box

thxs again...fingers crossed

mike

Tim Y · 08-01-2008, 04:15 PM

Don't you think 9 is going to be too far out of it to get up? In sprints horses higher than 5th EPR have a very hard time wnning....not impossible just very hard

Tim Y · 08-01-2008, 04:32 PM

6, 12 in the 8th at Woodbine look okay and the odds are nice.

Tim Y · 08-01-2008, 04:39 PM

12 rank
6 boxed in good luck was taking a break

mikesal57 · 08-01-2008, 04:45 PM

hey...it wasnt a complete bust...I got my money back..

wanna finish the card??

with tons of speeed in this race ...RDSS comes up with the #5...10-1 odds too..

the foreign horse has speed too...and has better race ratings than these, but never went beyond 7 furs...???

#5 to win....1-5-7 box

gl

08-01-2008, 02:03 PM	#1
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Saratoga Race 7 Hi Guys... For you match-up cappers...take alook at this race.. I see mostly all these horses needing to be close to the lead to win... except the #9...he can win from 4th or 5th position,,dont know if he will be further behind in this race, but he does have some speed too to get positioning let me know what u think mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

08-01-2008, 03:04 PM	#2
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	Looks this way 4 has a strong advantage it would appear. Attached Images

08-01-2008, 03:05 PM	#3
Turf Speculator Guest Posts: n/a	I ran your race through Thoromation and let it do the matching up. The lines used are seen next to horses name. All very current. Thoromation has them 8-4-9 with the Exdc preplay matching the read. Sp preplay has them 9-8. 4 and 8 will be bet. I'd look for about 5/1 or 6/1 on the 9 to bet otherwise a pass. Think the odds line in the last screenshot is off a bit??? Attached Images

08-01-2008, 03:15 PM	#4
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	4 and 8 Looks like 4 and 8 for me Attached Images

08-01-2008, 04:05 PM	#6
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Great Guys....thxs for the replies... I'll bet #9 to win and a 4-8-9 box thxs again...fingers crossed mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

08-01-2008, 03:46 PM	#5
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	Let's see how 1-8 do in the turfer before this Attached Images Last edited by Tim Y; 08-01-2008 at 03:51 PM.

08-01-2008, 04:15 PM	#7
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	Don't you think 9 is going to be too far out of it to get up? In sprints horses higher than 5th EPR have a very hard time wnning....not impossible just very hard Attached Images Last edited by Tim Y; 08-01-2008 at 04:20 PM.

08-01-2008, 04:32 PM	#8
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	6, 12 in the 8th at Woodbine look okay and the odds are nice. Attached Images

08-01-2008, 04:39 PM	#9
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	12 rank 6 boxed in good luck was taking a break

08-01-2008, 04:45 PM	#10
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	hey...it wasnt a complete bust...I got my money back.. wanna finish the card?? with tons of speeed in this race ...RDSS comes up with the #5...10-1 odds too.. the foreign horse has speed too...and has better race ratings than these, but never went beyond 7 furs...??? #5 to win....1-5-7 box gl Attached Images __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack