Pattern Match - Pace and Cap

chris · 06-09-2007, 11:59 AM

Churchill Downs, 6th race, #7 (Buckeye Buddy)

Had some time last night so I jumped ahead and Hcp'd one of my favorite types of race- Turf! They're ripe with confusion and offer the possiblity of truly large payoffs.

I break down bets into three general catagories; silly, stupid, and good. Have pretty much eliminated all silly bets, still get involved in some really stupid ones, however bet and cash enough tickets on good bets to survive and prosper.

Win or loose, this is a good bet. Buckeye Buddy's form is a nightmare, however pattern matchs often trump form. Using the pattern match line, RDSS gives him good numbers.

If you're interested, see if you can find the pattern match?

The horse is 15-1 on the morning line, And that's what he looks when you only note the obvious. This will be a Win & Place bet for me. No exotics this time.

I did my part, now it's up the horse.

Regards,
Chris

admin · 06-09-2007, 12:49 PM

Checking in from Monmouth Park Paddock veiw simo room

Hello Chris

what ever the pattern is
The horse looks pretty good to me if I us line 3

The apv and CR then best of the last 3
hides to top 5 TE and PLS
right on top

GS
Bill

chris · 06-09-2007, 01:08 PM

From the paddock simo room - good for you.

A lot of ways to look at this race. The elements that I focussed on were the dates of his last win - at Churchill, and on the Turf. Today he's 2nd off a 5 month layoff. His last win was 2nd off a 6 month layoff.

His numbers are a little heavy on the early for a turf win, and he'll need things to break his way, balance that against 15-1 morning line (I believe it will be higher, if the crowd gets onto it, I don't have to bet) and we have the ingredients of a good bet!

Here we go,
Regards,
Chris

admin · 06-09-2007, 03:21 PM

Big crowd here today at Momo
beautiful day and big belmont card has them ready to fire
visions of grandeur

Chris here is the screen of your horses from RDSS

Thanks and I am ready
GS
Bill

06-09-2007, 11:59 AM	#1
chris Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Richfield, MN Posts: 182	Pattern Match Churchill Downs, 6th race, #7 (Buckeye Buddy) Had some time last night so I jumped ahead and Hcp'd one of my favorite types of race- Turf! They're ripe with confusion and offer the possiblity of truly large payoffs. I break down bets into three general catagories; silly, stupid, and good. Have pretty much eliminated all silly bets, still get involved in some really stupid ones, however bet and cash enough tickets on good bets to survive and prosper. Win or loose, this is a good bet. Buckeye Buddy's form is a nightmare, however pattern matchs often trump form. Using the pattern match line, RDSS gives him good numbers. If you're interested, see if you can find the pattern match? The horse is 15-1 on the morning line, And that's what he looks when you only note the obvious. This will be a Win & Place bet for me. No exotics this time. I did my part, now it's up the horse. Regards, Chris

06-09-2007, 12:49 PM	#2
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Chris CD racce Checking in from Monmouth Park Paddock veiw simo room Hello Chris what ever the pattern is The horse looks pretty good to me if I us line 3 The apv and CR then best of the last 3 hides to top 5 TE and PLS right on top GS Bill Attached Images Last edited by admin; 06-09-2007 at 12:54 PM.

06-09-2007, 03:21 PM	#4
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	From the paddock view Big crowd here today at Momo beautiful day and big belmont card has them ready to fire visions of grandeur Chris here is the screen of your horses from RDSS Thanks and I am ready GS Bill Attached Images

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06-09-2007, 01:08 PM	#3
chris Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Richfield, MN Posts: 182	From the paddock simo room - good for you. A lot of ways to look at this race. The elements that I focussed on were the dates of his last win - at Churchill, and on the Turf. Today he's 2nd off a 5 month layoff. His last win was 2nd off a 6 month layoff. His numbers are a little heavy on the early for a turf win, and he'll need things to break his way, balance that against 15-1 morning line (I believe it will be higher, if the crowd gets onto it, I don't have to bet) and we have the ingredients of a good bet! Here we go, Regards, Chris