Sa 3/30 - Pace and Cap

JimG · 03-30-2007, 04:58 PM

Race 6....Here is my BL/BL on this race. For me the plays are the 3 and 7 to win. The 6 is strong late and should be thrown in for exotics.

JimG · 03-30-2007, 05:07 PM

Race 7 below. A tough race on the downhill turf course. I do not like horses that are off slow on the inside so I am downgrading the 1 a little although he has huge late numbers for the race and should be included in exotics. My win plays here are the 5 and 10.

Dumptruk · 03-30-2007, 06:18 PM

Race 7 SA

I think the 2 Rockn USA will be tough here. Only one other bonafide speed in here and he's coming off a long layoff.

admin · 03-30-2007, 06:59 PM

wild line selection

I will agree with you guys
win bets # 2 and 10

JimG · 03-30-2007, 07:45 PM

No joy in race 6 but the 10 does win in the 7th race and pay $12.60 cash money.

admin · 03-30-2007, 08:00 PM

Thanks Jim

I have not done a Hill race for a while
$12.00

shoeless · 03-30-2007, 08:12 PM

Bill,Please explain how did you come up with the 2&10?Jeff

admin · 03-30-2007, 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shoeless

Bill,Please explain how did you come up with the 2&10?Jeff

Hello Jeff
I did the race very quickly because i wanted to join in before the race went off

here are the APV and CR

Code:

 
1.   102.5%       2.64
2.   107.4%       3.14
3.   38.0%         0.72  out 
4.  132.6%        2.60
5.  74.7%          3.54  OUT 
6.  93.4%          2.85
7.  95.5%          4.25
8.   88.0%         1.96   0ut 
9    56.7%         3.10 Out
10.  84.6           1.74

Because I rushed I left out the 6
when I was setting up the screen shots I saw this
thia is why the BLBL is slightly different

I eliminated the 3 5 8 and 9 because of the low apv
I ignored the CR becuse a few horses never ran on the turf let alone down a hill

Then I just took the best speed rating of the last 3

I hide the 4 who was 6th on TE and PLS
and this is the BLBL

admin · 03-30-2007, 08:47 PM

I went to the Engen and saw the 70 med energy on the one so it was out

Since it was a turf race I looked for the best Late Energy Potental
lep and Hidden energy
I saw the Lightly raced # 7 on top with the long layoff
and went with the 2 and 10

shoeless · 03-30-2007, 09:36 PM

Bill.Thanks for explaining and good job.Jeff

03-30-2007, 04:58 PM	#1
JimG Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 992	Sa 3/30 Race 6....Here is my BL/BL on this race. For me the plays are the 3 and 7 to win. The 6 is strong late and should be thrown in for exotics. Attached Images

03-30-2007, 05:07 PM	#2
JimG Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 992	Race 7 below. A tough race on the downhill turf course. I do not like horses that are off slow on the inside so I am downgrading the 1 a little although he has huge late numbers for the race and should be included in exotics. My win plays here are the 5 and 10. Attached Images

03-30-2007, 06:18 PM	#3
Dumptruk Grade 2 Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Northern California Posts: 75	Race 7 SA I think the 2 Rockn USA will be tough here. Only one other bonafide speed in here and he's coming off a long layoff. Attached Images

03-30-2007, 06:59 PM	#4
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Hill and Dale wild line selection I will agree with you guys win bets # 2 and 10 Attached Images

03-30-2007, 08:00 PM	#6
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	I'll take it Thanks Jim I have not done a Hill race for a while $12.00 Attached Images Last edited by admin; 03-30-2007 at 08:03 PM.

03-30-2007, 07:45 PM	#5
JimG Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 992	No joy in race 6 but the 10 does win in the 7th race and pay $12.60 cash money.

03-30-2007, 08:12 PM	#7
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,612	Bill,Please explain how did you come up with the 2&10?Jeff

03-30-2007, 08:47 PM	#9
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Hill I went to the Engen and saw the 70 med energy on the one so it was out Since it was a turf race I looked for the best Late Energy Potental lep and Hidden energy I saw the Lightly raced # 7 on top with the long layoff and went with the 2 and 10 Attached Images

03-30-2007, 09:36 PM	#10
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,612	Bill.Thanks for explaining and good job.Jeff