TAM 7th - 4/12/17

[Jeebs]

This is a challenging claiming sprint for older horses... full field of 11 after scratches and many different angles to look at.

Here are the entries (note that the RS are my own designations, your RS may differ ):

[Jeebs]

I don't have time to do screenshots of each horse's RDSS PP's. If someone else in the group would like to do so, that is fine. However, for convenience sake, here are the Brisnet Ultimate PP's for the race:

Brisnet.pdf

[Bill V.]

hi Jeebs

Kind of busy my self today Don't know if i will get this one in
but here are the RDSS PP's

[Bill V.]

6 7 8 9 10

[Bill V.]

last

[Jeebs]

I don't have time for the usual elongated prattle. Here were my pacelines based on the "Original" screen and the respective BL/BL tiers:



I spent about an hour on the phone with Mitch, discussing the race, going back and forth with the pacelines, so our analysis will be similar in nature. However, based on Turn Time and Hidden Fractions, I feel that #12 is a very bettable horse. #10 can win (top tier, top ML), but it is too close of a match-up to consider that one at short odds.

Maybe 4-7 under as exacta possibilities at prices.

Good luck and skill to all those involved!

[Mitch44]

#1 is an unknown factor with only 2 sprint races & hasn't races in 3 years. Whatever his problem was he has to be healed after 3 yr. If playing a TRI a good show horse, should go off at 100-1

The 12 has had several shots at this class without a win.

The 10 has a suspicious drop from open 10,000 to todays 5,000 NW1, the horse appears to be a open 8,000 C . Why the drop? odds aren't worth the risk, will go against, if he beats me ,he beats me. No body gives away an 8,000 $$ horse.

The 7 only has 2 races at the distance so some upside, but last race suspicious.

Same lines as Jeebs. Contenders: 10-12-7-4-2

Final order: 12-7-10-4-2
Mitch44

[Lt1]

Well I only spent 20 with Mitch but we couldn't convince the monkey to throw his dart. So we are on our own
Contenders 10-12-7-4-2
#2 L1 poor form drops, 3 works since last race
#4 L3 2nd from l/o %med to high for this trk and dist.
#7 L2 OFF 38 DAYS NO WORKOUTS. 0-3 @dist 0 im.
#10 L1 drops off of loss at 10k 46 days ago 2 w/os since
#12 L3 Failed against this level in last 35 days ago 1 w/osince Big jock change
Don't expect the 10 to offer a price but will wait to see what the odds look like on this group. As of now 10-12-7-2-4
Tim G

[raceman5]

Looking at this race with the pp's i see 10-12-1-4. Have to watch the odds to make a bet on this one.

Bob

[rmath]

10-12-7-2 are my top 4
12 has good odds at 5 min to post.
W-P bet on 12

Rmath