M4$16/2 Dec 17-mowens33 - Pace and Cap

The Pook · 12-12-2016, 04:32 PM

Mike

mowens33 · 12-16-2016, 11:20 AM

Looking for a BOM

The Pook · 12-17-2016, 10:30 AM

Mornin Fellas,

On this last day of the contest I can't stick around for scratches or odds. Another tough race which I should pass. Might be a bomb in it like Mike says. But for the sake of just trying to notch up one more win I will figure it as best I can.

I see three E types, 5,6,7. Not sure whether this will run E or OTE so I'll go with the 5 to survive of the E's. And the 10 as the best of the OTE's.

5,10 Win
Pook

The Pook · 12-17-2016, 10:32 AM

Best of luck to the rest of you fighting for 2nd and 3rd. I think Lost has the win sewn up but you never know with a bomb. I may not be able to figure results, standings, and prize allocations until this evening or maybe tomorrow but stay tuned.

Pook

Capcondo · 12-17-2016, 11:06 AM

#8 and #9 are scratched. Temperature is 32 degrees with rain according to equibase.

mick · 12-17-2016, 12:24 PM

#5 to WIN

As a "Match Up" rookie, I'm clueless on a projected pace. (I'm also clueless on Aqueduct's Inner Dirt, as I fly south in the winter with my play, like a handicapping snowbird.) I think the leader will run 12-second furlongs for awhile, then backup some, maybe 24/48/1:13. I think the leader will be #5 and with a little luck, he might hold on. Besides, I like his name.

mick

cigar · 12-17-2016, 01:28 PM

pace: 24.1 - 48.5 - 113
OTE
Contenders: 3-4-6-10

Pace likely to be set by #7 closely follow by 10 and 6. 6 has won on fast and slow pace, 10 will likely be post time fav and odd will do nothing to make an impact on the current standing.

I am going big, so I might come out of this smelling like roses or Crap. The 3 fit the pace and will be behind the EP's. "FAST SPRINTERS BEAT SLOW ROUTERS" read that in the matchup manual, hence my bet go broke or go home.

Win/Place: 3-4

Lostandwon: great capping last week! I hope we get another crack at this Pook. Great tournament learn a lot and I am a better capper today.

Gents Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to you and your family. Hope the new year brings good Health and success to all......... HO HO HO......

mowens33 · 12-17-2016, 02:02 PM

48.2—112.0
Contenders: 2-4-5-6-7-10
My thought is the 4 go for the lead and set the pace, I was looking for a long short but everything for me leads back to the 10.
10 win and place

Pat C. · 12-17-2016, 02:09 PM

This will be an exercise in futility, but with nothing to lose, here goes:

Speed seems to be holding pretty good. #7 should have the lead at the second call and could go all the way. I am hoping the #3 can reverse the tandem and beat the #10 to the end.

Win #7
Win-Place #3

It has been fun although I kind of sucked this time around. Got my $50 worth of learning (losing) experience.

Merry Christmas to all!

Capcondo · 12-17-2016, 02:12 PM

Obviously, I'm looking for a price. As I analyze this race, I know the inner dirt favors speed. So, I'm looking for a horse near the lead. Here are the contenders.

#4: Has been on or near the lead in sprints. He can run from off the lead in sprints and has shown two efforts 9 and 10 back on the inner dirt where he showed sustained sprints. Contender
#5 Ran on or near the lead in 25 and 49. Not fast enough.
#6 Ran 23.4 and 49 early not on inner dirt. Contender.
#7 Ran 50.4 in inner dirt.

The 4 and 6 are my contenders in a race to be run early.

Contrary to my style, I'm going to play the 4 and 6 to win.

GL

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12-12-2016, 04:32 PM	#1
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	M4$16/2 Dec 17-mowens33 Mike Attached Images

12-17-2016, 10:30 AM	#3
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	Mornin Fellas, On this last day of the contest I can't stick around for scratches or odds. Another tough race which I should pass. Might be a bomb in it like Mike says. But for the sake of just trying to notch up one more win I will figure it as best I can. I see three E types, 5,6,7. Not sure whether this will run E or OTE so I'll go with the 5 to survive of the E's. And the 10 as the best of the OTE's. 5,10 Win Pook

12-17-2016, 10:32 AM	#4
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	Best of luck to the rest of you fighting for 2nd and 3rd. I think Lost has the win sewn up but you never know with a bomb. I may not be able to figure results, standings, and prize allocations until this evening or maybe tomorrow but stay tuned. Pook

12-17-2016, 11:06 AM	#5
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Scratches #8 and #9 are scratched. Temperature is 32 degrees with rain according to equibase.

12-17-2016, 12:24 PM	#6
mick Abiding Student Join Date: May 2016 Location: Nashville/Whitefish Posts: 714	#5 to WIN As a "Match Up" rookie, I'm clueless on a projected pace. (I'm also clueless on Aqueduct's Inner Dirt, as I fly south in the winter with my play, like a handicapping snowbird.) I think the leader will run 12-second furlongs for awhile, then backup some, maybe 24/48/1:13. I think the leader will be #5 and with a little luck, he might hold on. Besides, I like his name. mick __________________ mick Illustrated Glossary

12-17-2016, 01:28 PM	#7
cigar 3-3-1 - 3-3-2 Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 402	Aq r5 pace: 24.1 - 48.5 - 113 OTE Contenders: 3-4-6-10 Pace likely to be set by #7 closely follow by 10 and 6. 6 has won on fast and slow pace, 10 will likely be post time fav and odd will do nothing to make an impact on the current standing. I am going big, so I might come out of this smelling like roses or Crap. The 3 fit the pace and will be behind the EP's. "FAST SPRINTERS BEAT SLOW ROUTERS" read that in the matchup manual, hence my bet go broke or go home. Win/Place: 3-4 Lostandwon: great capping last week! I hope we get another crack at this Pook. Great tournament learn a lot and I am a better capper today. Gents Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to you and your family. Hope the new year brings good Health and success to all......... HO HO HO......

12-17-2016, 02:02 PM	#8
mowens33 Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA Posts: 1,065	48.2—112.0 Contenders: 2-4-5-6-7-10 My thought is the 4 go for the lead and set the pace, I was looking for a long short but everything for me leads back to the 10. 10 win and place

12-17-2016, 02:09 PM	#9
Pat C. Grade 2 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Oklahoma Posts: 76	This will be an exercise in futility, but with nothing to lose, here goes: Speed seems to be holding pretty good. #7 should have the lead at the second call and could go all the way. I am hoping the #3 can reverse the tandem and beat the #10 to the end. Win #7 Win-Place #3 It has been fun although I kind of sucked this time around. Got my $50 worth of learning (losing) experience. Merry Christmas to all!

12-17-2016, 02:12 PM	#10
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Obviously, I'm looking for a price. As I analyze this race, I know the inner dirt favors speed. So, I'm looking for a horse near the lead. Here are the contenders. #4: Has been on or near the lead in sprints. He can run from off the lead in sprints and has shown two efforts 9 and 10 back on the inner dirt where he showed sustained sprints. Contender #5 Ran on or near the lead in 25 and 49. Not fast enough. #6 Ran 23.4 and 49 early not on inner dirt. Contender. #7 Ran 50.4 in inner dirt. The 4 and 6 are my contenders in a race to be run early. Contrary to my style, I'm going to play the 4 and 6 to win. GL __________________ Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way.