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RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology |
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05-22-2010, 04:01 PM | #1 |
Grade 1 Aspiree
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
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Exacta Hits For Top 4 TX
I recompiled the percentage of exacta hits for a 500 race sample and came up with the following: 308 hits / 500 races = 61.6%.
This data was taken at 1-2 MTP. So for a larger sample the number of exacta hits (although they are pretty good) are clearly not in the 65% - 70% range as they were for a smaller sample. Some tracks were slightly below 60% and some tracks were higher. I found Penn National to have the highest hits about 63%. Anyone who wants to try this technique should be advised that you should not rely on TX alone for your picks. This is not a black box. TX should be subordinate to your handicapping method. I found that for my contender(s) not in TX I was right quite often. In general I found that the combination of my picks not in TX coupled with my picks that were in TX produced my best exacta ( 3 horse box only) wins. I hope this information helps. Ernie |
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