Hi FTL
Great lesson and a very nice win for you.
Everything is clear. However I must question why you say this...
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I’m sure my following comment could be disputed, but you don’t get “early” winners looking for a good 3rd fraction. That is for closers… when you are looking for a closer. With early horses, it is the early fractions you should be looking for, along with other “dedicated” early horses in the race.
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Here is a race I posted Thursday from Delaware Park The Stymie
Its a 50,000 Overnight Stakes race
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showpos...64&postcount=1
Horse # 5 to me is a lone early, It almost always gets the lead.
Its was a good bet to get the lead again in the Stymie.
I have marked in the result chart. It did get a 1.5 length lead in the first
two fractions. But what is keeping this early horse from winning?
Now I am not a very experienced class handicapper so I leave that part of the equitation to you. What I can see Its poor 3rd fractions are keeping it from winning.
