Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V.
Thanks Ernie
This horse # 8 WO race 12 12/6/09 won and Paid $20.00 plus.
Both TE and 2nd call are going up. Is this a good thing normally?
Bill
PS
"How will your horse run today" is one of my all time favorites
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If the TE increases over, say, the past 3 races that is positive, the horse is
competing at a higher energy level. If the time it takes the horse to make it
to the 2nd call is increasing that is negative. The 2nd call is considered
the pivotal point of the race by the majority of the authors that I read.
It simply means that the horse is taking longer to reach the critical point
of competitiveness in the race. So both the TE and 2nd call time rising is
contradictory. This didn't stop the animal from winning, and at a high mutual
at that. The horse can and does win if the reverse were true, i.e.
The TE is going down(negative) and the 2nd call time is going down (positive).
So these are the gray areas and you certainly can't eliminate a contender
if these contradictory conditions occur. It is more predictive if both of these
conditions are in synch. I would weigh TE higher but without stats it is
only my feeling.
Oh yeah, "How will your horse run today" is a good one. I also use
the last race" up close" concept and it is strictly from memory.
I would love to have that book back. I am going to try
Amazon.com or the Gamblers Book Club and see if I can get a copy.
Ernie