$2 Win
#3 and #5
Pace to be set by Early #7 at
23.1 . 46. Other Early #1 (and maybe #6) cannot keep up after F1. Reviewing the
PoR screen F1 Velocity ranks, #7 has 2 lines which rank better at F1 than #1. An Early horse
should show up as the F1 leader - and #1 cannot keep up.
However, the other Earlies will tire the #7 who will not last (plus his expected favourite odds and lower Rx rank count as a negative). (Plus if Gandalf the 'Wizard of Saratoga' says speed is challenged on Woodbine Main Track Tapeta, I listen.)
Thus the race runs
Other Than Early (OTE). Per the Original screen, the 2 good closers are the #3 and #5. The #5 has closed to win against a
faster 4f and 6f time than the projected pace. Per the Rx screen, the #3 has run with great Final Time consistency (CSR=1) and against higher calibre competition while well favoured in the odds (CR+ = 1), plus #1 LPR.
FWIW, the #4, though prepping well - for her closer running style, has not shown ability to close
all the way in only 6.5f. Plus never run and won after a 70 day LO, let alone a 267 day LO. To be in contention, needs to duplicate her best ever SR by far = 83, last race last year. Maybe for in the money, but not for win. IMO.
Thus: win bets on
#3 and #5, with maybe some nice odds on the #5. That's all I got for now. Bet-time odds
may change things ...
