Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

ssag0 · 01-26-2009, 11:06 PM

There are two ways to project pace.

1. First, decide the horse that is likely to take the lead. In picking the horse that is going to take the lead, find a horse that has truly been in the lead at the first call. In the event none of the horses definitely had the lead, use a time where a horse tried for the lead or was up close. Next, find a horse that was in the lead at the second call. Use the same procedure explained in finding the first call. Next, find a final time that matches the first two calls, and you have the projected pace of today's race. Never add beaten lengths to any of the fractional calls. Horses that do not match today's pace are will have difficulty winning.

are we using horses that had the lead at the track we are handicapping or any track? if its any track then dont there have to be adjustments?

01-26-2009, 11:06 PM	#1
ssag0 AlwNW3X Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 40	projecting pace There are two ways to project pace. 1. First, decide the horse that is likely to take the lead. In picking the horse that is going to take the lead, find a horse that has truly been in the lead at the first call. In the event none of the horses definitely had the lead, use a time where a horse tried for the lead or was up close. Next, find a horse that was in the lead at the second call. Use the same procedure explained in finding the first call. Next, find a final time that matches the first two calls, and you have the projected pace of today's race. Never add beaten lengths to any of the fractional calls. Horses that do not match today's pace are will have difficulty winning. are we using horses that had the lead at the track we are handicapping or any track? if its any track then dont there have to be adjustments?