Quote:
Originally Posted by VoodooFan
For instance, look at #6, Kim's Gold :
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=3976
STUDY THIS RACE , FOLKS AND LOOK AT THAT HORSE.
This is NOT a special voodoo situation.
This race is an example of several things that is and will be universal in all races using THE MATCH UP:
1) #6 Kim's Gold has NO POWERLINE to todays projected 1st call
2) #6 Kim's Gold has NO PACELINE to todays projected 1st call and 2nd call (sorry computer users)
3) #6 Kim's Gold has NO LINE for MatchUp horse vs horse, this horse would be ELIMINATED ( you know the method, starting with the the 1st horse in race, matching him with the 2nd horse, eliminating the loser , then going to the 3rd horse, etc.,)
This horse only has "position" to 1st call projection and "powermove" from THAT position or further.
This demonstrates that powerlines and powermoves and other factors are secondary to the primary, which is "INTUITION" ,Early or Other Than Early? |
So now the question becomes:
"How do we consistently get horses like these ..?"
Remember, this horse
"only" has
POSITION and
POWERMOVE in his past performance from that position or further.
How do we use
POSITION and when do we know when to use it?
Either we wait for a number of NEED-TO-LEAD horses that are of
equal talent at the first call to kill each other so we know what
POSITION the winner will most likely come from.......,
.........or we
stack all the EARLY runners to determine "Early or "Other-Than-Early" and eliminate them all and simply find and bet the OTE that is closest to lead positionally factoring in pace of race, like this......,
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showpos...1&postcount=41
.....but if we did that, it would eliminate #6 Kim's Gold who
ONLY had
POSITION and
POWERMOVE from that position or further.
So, next homework/research assignment is to see does stacking the EARLY like this--
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showpos...1&postcount=41
--
also gives us a potential POSITION point from which the OTE winner will come from......so maybe two matchups, matching the two BEST Other-Than-Early to find the winner......,
1) The
1st OTE will be from " the closest to the lead positionally factoring in pace of race"
2) The
2nd OTE will be the best from POSITION with a POWERMOVE from that position or further........., and "IF" he has fractions comparable to todays projected, so much the better, more
SECONDARY corollaries and Match Up math to laser in on our
ONE horse and give us confidence in our decision, as
INTUITION is the
PRIMARY factor.
......back to "Hat Check".....,
VoodooFan