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Old 02-14-2014, 11:16 AM   #4
Segwin
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Posts: 624
This is from one of Bill V. previous posts on the subject.

The rules for the fulcrum horse were set by Michel Pizzolla who was part of the original group for a spell.

According to the book Pace Makes The Race pg, 104 M. Pizzolla

" First of all, the fulcrum pace is always taken from a horse's last pace line.
Always. This is a rule as far as I am concerned. I get comments often at
seminars about this, and I point out to the person making the comment that
since I am the person who came up with the concept of the fulcrum pace, I
am entitled to have the final say on what is or isn't a fulcrum pace ! Always
take the fulcrum from the last line. Even if a horse typically runs faster and
in its last race a runaway rhinoceros interfered with this horse causing it to
run a second call ten seconds slower than usual, use another horse: always
take the fulcrum pace from the horse's last paceline. You may ask why I am
repeating this so often and why I am so insistent about this. When I first
presented the concept of the fulcrum pace, I had several exceptions to using
the last pace line in favor of a faster second call time further back in the horses's past performance.

However. what I have found was although those techniques were better at predicting the actual pace of race
and which horse or horses would be setting that pace,
it would tend to setting faster fulcrum paces and
consequently eliminating too many legitimate contenders."


Bill V. made a video about it as well as Because I Can Jim. Site search for them and watch both.

If you don't have an original copy of Pace Makes The Race you should try to find one - makes for a great read.

All the best.
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Terry
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