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Old 07-03-2018, 07:28 AM   #25
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Hope

Hello

Actually, I made a mistake, it was 21 points - lengths


Your question can best be answered if I refer to the old "Sartin Downs"
adjustment examples.

Almost every readout on RDSS is adjusted to a mystical normalized and equalized common racetrack, Originally named "Sartin Downs"

This means when you see horses ratings in RDSS that are adjusted, The numbers are not from Parx or Belmont or Santa Anita or Blue Ribbon Downs,
All lines are adjusted to a common track and then to a common distance

In this example, Horse 5's last race was run at Belmont at 7 furlongs
on the turf. What we see is horse 5's adjustment to a "par" for
7-furlong turf sprints at "Sartin Downs"

She earns an adjusted 184 TPR

Horse 10 last ran at Belmont, also on the turf, however, that was at 8.5 furlongs, on a track listed as good. The DTV was 23 (slow)

Now she has to be adjusted as if she ran a 7-furlong turf sprint
on an equalized, normalized track and surface - Sartin Downs

She gets only a 163 TPR and an even slower 161 from line 2.

So my question becomes is she really that much slower than horse 5
that is 21 points of TPR than the 5 horse?

I suspect no I base this on her 179 that she earned as a 2-year-old the last time she turf sprinted. (line 3 )

I placed her as an In The Money Only contender because I had no recent plus pacelines at a comparable distance. Yet I felt she just got a bad adjustment going route to sprint

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